Our weekly crypto derivatives analytics report delves into macro events; the current state of crypto and trading signals from spot trading volume; and futures, options and perpetual contracts.

Positive sentiment around potential US trade deals has fueled a sixth straight day of gains in risk-on assets. Bitcoin, boosted by this sentiment and its own drivers, such as strong ETF inflows and regulatory progress, has outperformed gold and equities, rising 14% over the past month and consolidating at $94K. Bitcoin’s implied volatility has decreased significantly, while realized volatility has stabilized above 30%, a level that’s been its floor for the past 18 months.

Please check out the report’s highlights.

Perp at months’ high; traders not yet all-in

After rallying from $75,000 to over $95,000 in early April, Bitcoin has traded sideways at around $94,000 this week. Open interest remains stable for April, near all-time highs at $8B, while trade volumes have decreased to $10B per day. Lower trade volumes correlate with lower realized volatility, and perp positioning suggests that traders are waiting for another rally before committing to major positions, mindful of recent sell-offs.

Bitcoin volatility declines to 18-month low

Bitcoin’s volatility has declined, nearing a previously held floor of 35–40%, a level from which it has consistently rebounded over the past 18 months. Implied volatility has followed a 10-point drop in realized volatility to just above 30%, the floor of its 18-month range. Options activity shows a preference for puts, as BTC’s spot price is remaining stable. Volatility smile skews favor out-of-the-money calls, particularly for long-term options, while short-term options are nearly neutral.

BTC volatility smiles skew toward OTM calls

Bitcoin's volatility smiles now favor out-of-the-money (OTM) calls across all tenors, recovering from a put-call skew that strongly favored puts earlier in April. Ether is showing a similar recovery at short tenors, but longer-term skew remains slightly bearish. While ETH funding rates are positive, longer-term option smiles are skewing toward puts, thus presenting mixed sentiment. For BTC, derivatives markets are indicating clearer bullish signals, including positive funding rate spikes, positively sloped futures yields and a skew toward OTM calls.

Advanced

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Bybit X Block Scholes crypto derivatives analytics report (Apr 30, 2025): Bitcoin volatility at 18-month low; data shows traders aren’t yet all-in

Grayscale has launched the Bitcoin Adopters ETF, which tracks companies with a corporate Bitcoin treasury strategy. 

Daily top performer — Curve Finance (CRV)

The S&P 500 rose 0.15% as investors shrugged off recession fears and reacted positively to strong tech earnings, with focus now shifting to upcoming Apple and Amazon results. Gold dropped to $3,245 on US-China trade optimism and a stronger dollar, with Fed rate cut hopes cushioning losses. The Coindesk Indices, which tracks the broader crypto market, fell 0.51%, with Bitcoin and Ether down 1.24% and 0.86%, respectively in the past 24 hours. Trade these markets and more with up to 500x leverage on Bybit MT5 using this 

Today's top performer is CRV, which surged 11.4% after Spark's integration of new Curve pools, enhancing stablecoin liquidity and improving DeFi infrastructure.

Curve Finance (CRV), launched in 2020, is a DEX on Ethereum for low-fee swaps between stablecoins and similar assets, with yield-earning pools and DAO governance via the CRV token. Spark has 

 sUSDS/USDT and USDC/USDT Curve pools to its Spark Liquidity Layer (SLL), boosting stablecoin liquidity, enabling easier swaps, and supporting future direct USDT deposits and withdrawals via Spark Savings.

Check out the latest prices, charts, and data of 

 the Bitcoin Adopters ETF, which tracks companies with a corporate Bitcoin treasury strategy. The ETF includes firms like Tesla, Blockstream, and MARA. It reflects the growing trend of companies acquiring Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation. Grayscale's fund aims to provide exposure to companies in sectors like mining, automotive, and energy. Institutional BTC adoption, including Michael Saylor's Strategy, is driving Bitcoin's scarcity, which may lead to a supply crunch and rising Bitcoin prices in the future.

Yesterday, BTC spot ETFs saw $323.3M in outflows, with $32M from GBTC and $291.3M from other ETFs.

 its largest Galxe points event, running from May 4–8, 2025, where users can complete tasks to earn points. They also introduced the AlphaWave competition, a 7-day AI trading contest featuring 25 crypto agents. Users can vote for the agent they think will win to earn rewards and complete Galxe quests. New tasks will be added throughout the week.

Beginner

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Grayscale launches Bitcoin Adopters ETF, tracking companies with BTC treasury strategies

Discover how USDY, a yield-bearing stablecoin from Ondo Finance, offers secure, regulated returns backed by US Treasuries across multiple blockchains.

, which are crypto assets pegged to a major fiat asset, have gained tremendous popularity and are helping investors deal with the typical volatility of the market. For many years, stablecoin cryptocurrencies have been used for payments, principal value storage, B2B transactions and more. However, traditional stablecoins have always lacked the ability to generate yield. These assets are fixed at a certain rate (e.g., $1) and, due to inflation, they don’t protect against your funds’ value erosion. 

 have started to gain traction over the past several years. These "new generation" stablecoins, unlike their traditional counterparts, not only provide rate stability but also generate yields, growing your investment over time. One of the leading assets among yield-bearing stablecoins is US Dollar Yield (USDY), issued by Ondo USDY LLC, part of 

Backed by low-risk traditional finance (TradFi) reserves, USDY generates yields and is a fully composable asset that can be used throughout the DeFi ecosystems of multiple blockchains. The reserves and issuance of the stablecoin are also subject to high regulatory controls. In the world of yield-bearing stablecoins, USDY is among the top choices in terms of popularity, regulation and security.

What is the Ondo US Dollar Yield (USDY) Token?

 (USDY) is a yield-bearing stablecoin offered by Ondo USDY LLC, part of the Ondo Finance DeFi solutions provider. 

USDY’s value tracks that of the US dollar, and it’s backed by Treasury bills and demand deposit reserves. The coin issuer’s parent company, Ondo Finance, specializes in institutional-grade crypto solutions. Ondo aims to make on-chain institutional-grade finance tools and infrastructure accessible to anyone.

USDY was launched in August 2023. As of April 2025, the stablecoin has become available on 

 — a level of multichain coverage that few other stablecoins can match.

While USDY’s price tracks the US dollar’s, its rate is typically somewhat higher than $1 because yields earned by each unit of the stablecoin are added to it, increasing its nominal value.

 (RWAs), primarily Treasury bills, although some portion of the reserves may also be represented by bank demand deposits. Both of these financial asset types are considered cash equivalents.

To ensure the Ondo ecosystem's security, Ondo backs each $100 equivalent of USDY with reserves worth $104, maintaining a 4% overcollateralization rate at all times.

Ondo Finance takes the transparency of USDY seriously. The company has established a bankruptcy-remote mechanism, with a separate corporate entity controlling the issuance and oversight of the stablecoin in various ways, including a board of directors with an independent director, and segregation of assets and reporting from Ondo.

USDY is a fully composable asset that can be used in the DeFi ecosystems of its host blockchains for various purposes, such as collateral, 

USDY provides several significant benefits for its holders. First, it allows eligible individual and institutional investors to earn dollar-denominated yield. This is in contrast to traditional stablecoins, which provide no yield opportunities at all. While other yield-bearing stablecoins also generate returns for holders, some of these pay the yields in volatile cryptocurrencies, rather than high-quality assets.

Thanks to its dollar peg, USDY offers both yield and relative stability. Additionally, it’s fully composable, creating opportunities for use across various DeFi protocols. USDY is available on seven blockchains, providing access to more DeFi opportunities than most yield-bearing stablecoins.

The coin may also be used for passive holding, growing in value over time as yields accrue. In this capacity, USDY represents a good low-risk, on-chain investment opportunity.

Finally, USDY’s overcollateralization and backing by high-quality TradFi assets, Treasury bills and demand deposits make it one of the most secure yield-bearing stablecoins on the market.

How does Ondo US Dollar Yield (USDY) work?

Individuals and institutional entities need to undergo an onboarding process to acquire USDY, during which they submit relevant identity, legal and tax documents. Ondo diligently applies 

 (AML) checks in order to adhere to US securities laws, the Investment Company Act of 1940 and other relevant regulations.

US and UK residents cannot apply to buy USDY, although you may be eligible if you’re a US or UK citizen and reside abroad.

If your application is approved, you can be issued USDY 40 to 50 days after your initial deposit date, although you’ll start earning yield from the first day of your investment. The minimum amount for investment or redemption is $500. You can buy USDY from Ondo using the 

 stablecoin. US dollar wire transfers are also supported for amounts over $100,000.

Redemptions are only transferred in US dollars to bank accounts outside the US. You can redeem your USDY investment at any time, and the typical timeline to receive your funds is about 2–3 business days from the date of your request.

USDY accrues yield daily. The stablecoin’s yields are structured not to incur any US federal tax obligations. Ondo doesn’t charge any performance or management fees for USDY yields. However, the company earns income from a portion of yields generated by the underlying assets backing USDY.

As noted earlier, USDY’s yields accrue to each unit of the token. Therefore, the value of one USDY is usually above $1. For instance, the average value of USDY as of the time of this writing (Apr 30, 2025) is $1.11.

For investors who prefer a fixed $1 rate for the stablecoin, Ondo offers the rebasing version, called rUSDY. Yields for rUSDY are paid to your wallet in the form of additional tokens by increasing the supply of the crypto, while the principal remains at (or very close to) $1. This is known as rebasing. USDY and rUSDY are freely convertible between each other.

The rebased version of the coin might be useful to those who need to ensure rate stability (for example, for B2B payments of agreed-upon contractual amounts) while also earning yields from their investments.

 as a swap pair with the USDT stablecoin.

USDY boasts numerous benefits for investors — low-risk yields from high-quality traditional assets, wide multichain coverage, regulatory compliance, transparency, composability and rate stability. The combination of all these benefits is quite rare in the crypto market, and the investor community is definitely taking note: USDY is already the third-highest-ranked yield-bearing stablecoin by market cap as of late April 2025. 

Since the yield-bearing stablecoin niche is expanding, the advantages of the USDY are likely to attract further interest, both among the institutional crowd and with individuals keen to access high-quality, institutional-grade crypto products.

Intermediate

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What is Ondo US Dollar Yield (USDY) and how does it work?

Discover the 7 top Sui meme coins in 2025, from MIU to HIPPO, as they gain traction with fast growth, strong communities, and unique use cases.

 blockchains, have continued to rally as investors make bold moves with renewed risk appetites. As a 

 blockchain, Sui has continued to attract crypto enthusiasts — especially meme coin lovers, who appreciate the platform's speed and affordability.

Recent surges in trading volumes and market caps of SUI meme coins — such as MIU, LOFI and BLUB — highlight growing investor interest. For instance, BLUB experienced an 88% increase in just 24 hours from Apr 22–23, 2025, contributing to the broader rally of SUI as its price surged over 63% in April 2025.

These coins often incorporate unique themes and philanthropic efforts, such as HIPPO's wildlife conservation donations, that foster strong community support.

Let's look at the top Sui meme coins making waves in the crypto market.

​Sui-based meme coins are rapidly gaining traction due to a combination of technological advantages and vibrant community engagement. The 

 parallel transaction execution and unique gas pricing mechanism enable ultrafast transaction speeds and minimal fees. This makes Sui an ideal platform for the high-volume, speculative trading that meme coins often entail. Sui’s scalability and secure Move programming language attract developers seeking efficient and safe environments for launching their new tokens.​

 (DeFi) further supports meme coin growth, providing avenues for increased utility beyond mere speculation. Following are the top ​Sui meme coins based on market cap, as of Apr 30, 2025.

 is currently the leading ​Sui-based “cat meme coin,” with a market cap of $70.6 million. It draws in investors with its fun, energetic branding and community-driven spirit. MIU also features expanded utility beyond its cute cat hype, allowing users to access DeFi and 

 (NFT) opportunities on its platform. It also promotes long-term commitment via its 

 process, as stakers can earn up to 15% APR with 12 months of staking.

The project frequently launches community events and contests, strengthening its dedicated holder base. MIU’s success highlights the growing appetite for meme tokens on scalable blockchains like Sui. Its playful appeal and strong tokenomics have positioned it at the top of the ​Sui meme sector. MIU is a 

 coin: its total supply is 9 trillion tokens, of which 55% are dedicated to a 

, 15% allocated to staking rewards, 15% to ecosystem development, 10% to community and 5% reserved for the team.

MIU continues to ride the wave of growing meme adoption, aiming to become a lasting force within the Sui ecosystem and beyond.

With a market cap of $35.86 million and over 50 million app users, 

 (MEMEFI) is an ambitious Telegram project that blends the world of memes with SocialFi utilities. Unlike typical meme coins that rely solely on hype, MemeFi aims to engage Telegram users with an interactive web3 meme-themed clicker game that offers daily giveaways and incentivizes ad creations for enterprises.

Its native token, MEMEFI, is more than just a mere meme coin, and has use cases for 

You can trade MEMEFI on Bybit’s Spot trading platform (

 is a rising ​Sui meme coin known for its chill "lofi vibes" branding that resonates with a younger, internet-native audience. Beyond its fun appearance, LOFI has demonstrated solid growth by tapping into communities through music, lifestyle and crypto.

The project also ties in eco-conscious initiatives, focusing on providing clean water sources for global communities and addressing the impact of ocean waste and plastic on marine health, giving it a mission-driven angle not typically seen in meme coins. Besides direct donating, minting LOFI Mystic Yetis NFTs also helps contribute to the cause, with 20% of the proceeds going to the LOFI Foundation.

Lofi’s accessible vibe and shrewd marketing strategy continue to attract new supporters, helping LOFI to stand out in the increasingly crowded ​Sui meme scene. 

 (commonly known as HIPPO) is a community favorite in the ​Sui meme world. The HIPPO token mixes humor with philanthropy, donating a portion of its revenues to wildlife conservation initiatives, starting with Thailand’s Khao Kheow Open Zoo that houses Moo Deng, the adorable pygmy hippopotamus that inspired this viral meme coin. This feel-good approach has helped build an extremely loyal community around the HIPPO token.

Sudeng’s dual focus on memes and real-world impact gives it staying power. The project’s growing community engagement ensures that HIPPO remains relevant in a fast-moving crypto space.

You can buy HIPPO as a USDT Perpetual contract on Bybit (

 is making waves in the ​Sui meme coin ecosystem with its aquatic-themed branding and integration of meme culture. Known for its friendly, community-first approach, BLUB frequently hosts giveaways, meme competitions and liquidity incentives to maximize engagement.

The coin’s fun branding and its steady increase in active users have helped BLUB climb the ranks quickly. Its strong online presence and viral meme campaigns have attracted crypto enthusiasts who are looking for the next breakout meme project. As it continues building partnerships and expanding its reach, BLUB demonstrates strong potential to become a staple in the Sui meme scene.

 (TOILET) is a rising meme coin on ​Sui that embraces humor and absurdity in a way that resonates with crypto culture. Its branding focuses on being intentionally ridiculous, tapping into the viral tone of meme coins that don't take themselves too seriously.

The project’s organic, community-driven growth has made it one of the most talked-about newer entrants in the ​Sui meme space. Frequent meme contests, community raids and spontaneous airdrops help fuel engagement. One of its biggest events is the distribution of Toilet Club Alpha Pass NFTs to the top 100 TOILET holders (as indicated by the Apr 21, 2025 screenshot), which gives holders access to all of Toilet Dust's projects and events and the right to vote on Toilet Dust's future development.

Despite its humorous façade, TOILET’s strong holder base and active marketing tactics suggest it may remain relevant as Sui’s meme coin ecosystem continues to expand.

 (FUD), another top project in the ​Sui meme coin category, is built around an adorable pug mascot battling FUD (fear, uncertainty and doubt) in the crypto world. With a humorous tone and clever marketing, FUD has built a vibrant community of holders who embrace both its memes and its mission.

FUD leverages trending memes, contests and airdrop rewards to keep its community marketing fresh and viral, helping it steadily grow in popularity. Its deep integration of ​Sui apps like 

 — as well as its deflationary tokenomics, whereby 20% is dedicated to token burning — makes FUD a strong contender for future growth in the meme space.

Buying ​Sui meme coins on Bybit can be exciting. Nevertheless, it's important to recognize the risks and rewards involved. 

, and their prices can swing wildly and quickly, offering chances for sizeable gains as well as sudden losses.

Always approach these investments with caution, never risking more than you can afford to lose. That said, the fast-growing ​Sui ecosystem and meme culture can create rewarding opportunities for traders who stay informed and manage their risk properly.

Currently, you can buy MEMEFI as a Spot pair and Perpetual contract on Bybit. HIPPO is also available as a Perpetual contract. This gives traders the flexibility to choose the type of exposure they want — simple buying and holding with Spot, or leveraged trading with Perpetual contracts.

Spot trading is the most straightforward way to buy ​Sui meme coins, as you directly purchase the coin and own it outright. On Bybit, the process is simple. After choosing the Spot pair, such as MEMEFI/USDT, select your preferred order type — e.g., 

(you set the price you're willing to pay) — and confirm the trade to make your purchase.

Spot trading is ideal for beginning traders, as well as anyone who prefers a more straightforward, lower-risk approach as compared to 

Buying Sui meme coins as Perpetual contracts

Bybit offers MEMEFI and HIPPO as USDT Perpetual contracts for those seeking more advanced trading options. With Perpetual trading, you don’t own the actual coins; instead, you speculate on their price movement. Key points to understand include the following:

Perpetual contracts can offer significant rewards, but require a strong understanding of 

. Always start with lower leverage and practice solid trading discipline.

Whether you prefer the simplicity of Spot or the strategy of Perps, Bybit provides flexible ways to explore the booming ​Sui meme coin market.

The rapid rise of meme coins on the Sui blockchain highlights the power of community-driven projects when they’re paired with innovative technology. Thanks to Sui’s high-speed transactions, low fees and developer-friendly environment, Sui meme coins like MIU, LOFI and HIPPO have found a perfect ecosystem in which to thrive. Each project brings something unique to the table — whether humor, philanthropy, DeFi innovation or pure meme culture — creating a vibrant and diverse ​Sui meme coin landscape.

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7 top Sui meme coins to pay attention to in 2025

Trading

Candlestick

The cup and handle chart pattern indicates a bullish trend and makes buying opportunities easy to spot. But is this pattern reliable? Learn more.

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The cup and handle indicator is a technical pattern found on crypto price charts. It indicates the correction of a previous uptrend and eventually signals its resumption. The pattern exhibits clearly defined entry and risk levels but can be difficult to interpret in crypto markets due to fragmented volume metrics.

This trading guide explains the importance of the patterns and how you can formulate a strategic trading style to make the best out of it. We’ll be discussing the ins and outs of the indicator and to help you understand some of the limitations. 

A cup and handle pattern is a consolidation chart pattern signaling bullish in which prices correct a portion of a previous uptrend, then rebound back toward the previous high, forming the “cup.” Prices then trade sideways, creating the “handle” which, when completed, signals a breakout to new highs.

. I learned to trade stocks 20 years ago using his methods, including the cup and handle pattern. This pattern is found a lot in the stock market and is beginning to appear frequently within the crypto market.

The cup and handle pattern can be found within a variety of time frames, from hourly, weekly to monthly charts. However, it is more powerful on daily chart time frames. There are a couple of variations of the pattern, but they all have a similar look.

Characteristics of the Cup and Handle Pattern

The cup and handle pattern appears after a big rally where the market needs to pause and catch its breath. The pattern consists of five key components, which then lead to a breakout higher.

The first four components help shape the structure for the pattern’s name because they form the outline of a cup with a handle.

After a big uptrend in price (#1), the market begins to correct lower (#2), shaping the first half of the cup. The dip in #2 generally retraces about 30–50% of the length of the previous uptrend. However, there are instances where a deeper correction may take hold. Once a bottom is formed, prices will begin to rally (#3). This rally pauses within 10% of the previous high. At this point, the cup portion of the pattern has been created. 

Now that prices are near their old high, bullish traders stop buying and wait to see if a breakout takes place. Traders who bought near the old high are thankful and nervous at the same time. They are thankful that prices have rebounded back to the old high, but nervous about another selloff. They are considered weak hands. Hence, selling the asset gradually, creating the handle (#4). 

However, the total volume begins to decrease as the market is running out of sellers. The price trend is from sideways to slightly lower, and it carves the handle of the pattern.

In the end, the pattern takes the shape of a coffee cup with a handle on the right side.

The pattern is confirmed when prices break above the high of the handle as the previous uptrend continues.

The cup and handle pattern cannot exist without a prior uptrend. As a result, the pattern is found frequently within the crypto market.

There are a couple of variations to this pattern that crypto traders need to be aware of. First, there are times when the handle portion of the pattern develops above the old high. This is considered the “high handle.” Secondly, since the market is fractal, these patterns will form on a variety of charting time frames, including intraday charts.

One of the characteristics of the cup and handle pattern is that the handle must form within 10% of the old high. There are times when the market is extremely bullish and the handle pushes slightly above the old high but remains within 10% of it. These situations are considered to have a high handle.

In the above example, we see a cup with a high handle. The handle forms above the old high, rather than below. The result of the pattern remains the same where it is a minor breakout higher, but then prices trade sideways on declining volume to form the handle. The pattern is confirmed when the market breaks above the highest price of the handle.

When William O’Neil first identified the cup and handle pattern, the focus was on daily chart time frames. Now that charting software has made access to intraday charts easier, variations of this pattern have emerged such that it can be found within intraday chart time frames.

The intraday pattern operates similarly but concludes more quickly. In the Bitcoin example above, we are using a 4-hour chart. All of the necessary ingredients are present, including the volume spikes. During the retracement portion, you want to see increasing down in volume. On the rally portion of the cup, you want to see increasing volume. Then, during the formation of the handle, trading volume will ideally shrink as both buyers and sellers are shaken out.

The Bitcoin chart above also illustrates a high handle, which we discussed in the previous section. After the successful cup and handle portion of the chart, Bitcoin breaks out and accelerates higher.

The inverted cup is the reversal pattern indicating a momentum sell short signal signaling a bearish continuation pattern. The chart patterns happen within a span of three to six months and volume plays a role in the completion of the pattern and the confirmation of the breakout from an uptrend. At the same time, the inverted cup top is formed when there are more sellers bidding for the price to go down. When it happens, it indicates the end of the bull markets.

The inverted handle pattern forms when the asset emerges out and begins to fall from the right side of an inverted cup. However, a true inverted handle happens when it fails to break down and finally meets the 

To spot a true inverted cup and handle pattern, the shape needs to be obvious and the trend line needs to curve up and then down like an upside-down cup. When this reversal pattern happens, it tells you that it is not a good probability to trade if pullback or correction is not on the way.

How To Identify the Cup and Handle Pattern

The cup and handle pattern starts with an uptrend, followed by a 30–50% correction. Use the Fibonacci retracement tool to measure out the previous uptrend, then look for the correction to retrace near the 30–50% zone.

After the market has retracted into the 30–50% zone, look for a rally to begin pressing prices back toward the old high.

As prices approach the old high, a failed breakout traps both recent buyers and buyers at the bottom of the base. Recent buyers see their small floating gain evaporate, and buyers at the bottom of the base fear a 

Both sets of buyers exit the market; as a result of this entrapment, these buyers are nervous and slowly sell out, creating the handle of the pattern.

The handle must form in less time than it takes to form the cup. On most occasions, the handle will form in about 1/5 to 1/3 of the time required to form the cup. 

Additionally, the handle needs to stay in the upper half of the cup and not drop into the lower half of the cup’s price range. For example, if the cup forms between a price range of $1.0 to $2.0, then the handle needs to form within $1.50 to $2.0. If the handle pushes too low, then it will be ineffective at trapping short sellers.

An effective handle will drift lower, rather than trend lower. This sows doubt among short-sellers, who become nervous about the failed trend to the downside. As a result, they close out their positions, which adds a little buying pressure to the market, popping the price a little.

Then, new buyers enter the market as they see the technical setup complete, pushing the market above prior highs. This adds even more strength to the bullish trend.

The cup and handle pattern is an effective combination to flush out weak holders. 

To trade the cup and handle pattern, wait for technical levels of resistance to break. There are two areas where traders can buy the resistance break. 

First, draw a resistance trend line encompassing the high prices of the handle. A break at the resistance trend line is your signal to buy. The second opportunity to buy is a break above the high of the handle. Waiting for a break above the handle’s high is a more conservative approach, as you are seeking confirmation from the market that the price is hitting new highs.

The risk and stop loss on the trade will be set at the low of the handle. This way, if the breakout fails and falls back below the handle’s low, then you can close out the trade at a small loss and move on to the next opportunity.

If the breakout is successful, then you can consider moving your stop loss to the breakeven level, locking in the trade without experiencing a loss.

The target for the cup and handle pattern is fairly simple. Measure the distance from the cup high to the cup low and project that same distance beginning at the handle’s low point. So long as the handle remains in the upper half of the cup, this level of price projection leads to an attractive risk-to-reward ratio on the trade.

Here is an example of the cup and handle pattern in a Bitcoin chart from 2019. 

After rallying 25%, the market corrected lower approximately 50% on increasing bearish volume. Then, the market rallied to come within 3% of the previous high.

At that point, the cup of the pattern was completed and the handle was about to begin. The handle drifted lower on decreasing trading volume. The pricing of the handle remained within the upper portion of the cup, so all of the necessary ingredients were present for a bullish breakout.

Once the handle was finished, Bitcoin rallied higher on increasing volume, which led to new highs.

Below is another chart, a cup and handle example for Ethereum.

After rallying 300% to begin 2021, Ethereum began consolidating the uptrend to form the cup. The cup was relatively shallow, at nearly 30% of the previous uptrend. After correcting, the price rallied back to near the old high to finalize the cup.

As the handle began to develop, its slight downward slope, coupled with decreasing trading volume, was a big clue that this may be a minor consolidation. This was a relatively long handle, but once it had finished, Ethereum rallied on increasing volume.

Indicators To Identify the Cup and Handle Pattern

Aside from having a clearly defined pattern with specific entry and exit parameters, this chart pattern is a favorite among traders because it is simple to identify. There aren’t a lot of fancy indicators or technical tools needed to spot the pattern.

 needed to help you identify the pattern:

As you know by now, the pattern consists of two parts, the cup plus the handle. The pattern cannot be anticipated until nearly all of the cup is completed and the price is near the old high.

As a result, the trader will need to highlight the old high with a horizontal resistance line. Additionally, as the right side of the cup is created, we need to observe several bullish candles on rising trade volume. An easy way to figure this out is to place a 50-period 

This moving average indicates the average volume for the last 50 periods. You want to see several bullish candles with volume above the 50-period moving average, while most of the bearish candles remain below the moving average. If a large bullish and bearish volume candle are next to each other, you want to see the bullish candle display a higher volume than the bearish candle.

Once the cup is completed, the handle will begin to develop. The handle will be marked by sloping trend lines. These trend lines should have a slight downward slant to them. The important trend line is the resistance trend line, which is the top line. If prices break above resistance on rising volume, then the market will likely continue its trend higher.

Limitations of the Cup and Handle Pattern

Like any form of pattern and technical analysis, there are times when this predictor works well and other times when the forecast does not work out. There are situations when the reliability of the cup and handle pattern is diminished.

The cup and handle pattern is the result of a bullish breakout. When the broad market is in a bullish trend, that makes the breakout a higher probability move. However, if the broad market is in a bearish trend, then a bullish breakout is less likely to occur. 

Bitcoin and Ethereum are the two largest cryptocurrencies, commanding approximately 60% of crypto’s total 

. If both Bitcoin and Ethereum are in an uptrend, then the chance of a bullish breakout is higher. If both Bitcoin and Ethereum are in a downtrend, then a bullish breakout has a smaller chance of occurring.

Apply the Cup and Handle Pattern to Large and Growing Cryptocurrencies

A major limitation to the cup and handle pattern is evidenced when applying it to small cryptocurrencies that do not have a large following. The cup and handle pattern works best with cryptocurrencies that are growing their following. The more buying and selling interest that exists, the better the gauge of the pull between buyers and sellers. 

Overall Volume Makes a Difference but It May Be Difficult to Obtain

 of a crypto asset makes a difference in determining a cup and handle pattern. However, crypto trading takes place on many different exchanges — and even off the exchange. Therefore, arriving at an accurate volume figure is extremely difficult.

The cup and handle pattern has been around for over 30 years and is widely followed by many technical traders. Though limitations of the pattern are not to be ignored, the strong trends in crypto help make the cup and handle pattern effective in trading crypto markets.

Candlestick Patterns Professional Traders Use

 – A curated list of candlestick patterns most frequently used by traders

 – Learn the basics of candlestick patterns

 (Chart basics: trend, neckline, wedges)

Cup and Handle Chart Pattern: How To Use It in Crypto Trading

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Cup and Handle Chart Pattern: How To Use It in Crypto Trading

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