Gold is projected to surpass $3,000 per ounce in 2025, driven by strong macroeconomic and geopolitical factors.

At the heart of gold's potential surge is the current macroeconomic landscape that’s characterized by persistent inflation and anticipated monetary policy shifts. Inflation rates in the U.S. are expected to remain above the Federal Reserve's target of 2%, creating an environment in which gold is expected to serve as a crucial hedge against currency devaluation. When inflation erodes purchasing power, investors often turn to gold to preserve their wealth.

Moreover, the Federal Reserve has signaled a shift toward monetary easing, with market expectations indicating potential interest rate cuts in the coming months. Lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding gold, making it a more attractive investment as compared to interest-bearing assets, such as bonds and savings accounts. With real interest rates projected to remain low or even go negative, gold could experience renewed demand as a safe store of value.

Geopolitical tensions further bolster gold’s appeal. Ongoing conflicts, particularly the strained U.S.-China relationship and the Russia-Ukraine war, create an atmosphere of uncertainty that drives investors toward safe-haven assets. During times of geopolitical instability, gold has historically seen increased demand as investors seek to mitigate risks associated with market volatility.

As global tensions escalate, the demand for gold is likely to rise, reinforcing its status as a reliable hedge against financial instability. Investors tend to flock to gold during crises, viewing it as a secure asset that retains its intrinsic value, especially when other markets are under pressure.

Another significant factor contributing to the bullish outlook for gold is the unprecedented demand from central banks around the world. In 2024, central banks collectively purchased over 1,000 metric tons of gold, marking one of the highest levels of accumulation in recent history. This trend is expected to continue into 2025, particularly among countries like China and Russia that are actively reducing their reliance on U.S. dollar reserves as part of a broader de-dollarization strategy.

This central bank buying provides a strong structural support for gold prices, minimizing downside risks. As these institutions accumulate more gold, the resulting scarcity in the market could lead to higher prices. The growing demand from central banks underscores the renewed confidence in gold as a strategic reserve asset, especially amidst economic volatility and geopolitical tensions.

From a technical perspective, gold is currently in a robust uptrend, trading above key moving averages and nearing critical resistance levels. If gold successfully breaks through the psychological barrier of $3,000 per ounce, momentum could carry it toward higher price targets, potentially reaching $3,200 or even $3,500. 

, such as relative strength index (RSI) and moving average convergence divergence (MACD), suggest that gold remains in a bullish phase, indicating further upside potential.

As gold approaches these key resistance points, technical traders will closely monitor its price movements. A successful breach of the $3,000 level could trigger momentum buying, propelling prices higher as investor confidence grows.

Finally, rising investor sentiment plays a crucial role in gold’s potential price surge. Increased inflows into gold-backed 

 (ETFs), in addition to speculative positioning in futures markets, reflect strong confidence among both retail and institutional investors. As ETF holdings rise, it signals renewed interest in gold as a safe-haven investment.

This optimism is bolstered by a general shift in market sentiment as investors are increasingly turning to gold amid concerns over economic stability and inflation. The combination of robust technical indicators, macroeconomic pressures and favorable investor sentiment positions gold favorably for a significant price increase in 2025.

In summary, gold is well-positioned to reach $3,000 per ounce in 2025, driven by a combination of persistent inflation, geopolitical uncertainty, strong central bank demand and positive technical indicators. As investors seek refuge in safe-haven assets, gold’s intrinsic value and historical performance during times of crisis will make it an attractive option for preserving wealth. The confluence of these factors suggests that gold's upward trajectory could continue, making 2025 a pivotal year for this precious metal.

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Bybit Commodity Insight Report: Why Gold Is Poised to Reach $3,000 in 2025

Our weekly crypto derivatives analytics report delves into macro events, the current state of crypto and trading signals from spot trading volume, as well as futures, options and perpetual contracts.

Macro headwinds are impacting the crypto market, with a sell-off that began over the weekend deepening this week. BTC, ETH and most altcoins are declining alongside equities, gold and treasury yields, though derivatives markets are showing little bearish sentiment or increased volatility expectations. Among perpetuals, there are record consistent positive rates across most markets, indicating a reset in positioning. Meanwhile, ETH retains a volatility premium over BTC, but its term structure hasn’t inverted as sharply as in earlier sell-offs this month.

Please check out the report’s highlights.

Funding Rates Largely Positive Amid Sell-Off

Despite risk-off sentiment across asset classes this weekend and early this past week, USDT-denominated perpetual contracts have shown their most consistently positive funding rates within the past month. While these rates haven't reached the bullish levels of early December 2024, most have returned to a neutral level of 0.01%, signaling a reset in positioning due to recent market movements.

Tuesday's intensified risk-off sell-off led to a significant spike in BTC put trade volume as traders hedged against further declines. Unlike ETH, which leans bullish on calls, BTC's open interest is balanced between upside and downside protection. The volatility term structure is flat again, typical during sharp market moves, but this reflects a decline in longer-dated options, rather than a rise in short-term expectations.

As the sell-off in risk-on assets deepened this past week, ETH outperformed BTC. ETH derivatives markets are showing stronger sentiment, with higher call trade volumes indicating greater demand for upside positioning as compared to puts. However, ETH's volatility term structure has inverted more sharply than BTC's, as seen in previous significant market moves since last November (2024), with front-end volatility levels 15 points above those of BTC options with a similar tenor.

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Bybit X Block Scholes Crypto Derivatives Analytics Report (Feb 26, 2025): Reset in Sentiment Brewing as Fund Rates Turn Positive

Explore four essential tips to help you accumulate more points, optimize your strategy and claim the best rewards in EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge.

With the rise of gamified crypto events, EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge stands out as one of the most exciting opportunities for users to earn rewards while engaging with both Bybit and Mantle Network. This limited-time event offers participants a shot at a 1,000,000 MNT prize pool when they complete on-chain and trading-related tasks. 

To help you maximize your rewards and ensure you get the most out of this event, in this guide we’ll break down four essential tips to help you accumulate more points, optimize your strategy and claim the best rewards in EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge.

EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge is a limited-time campaign that rewards participants with a share of a 1,000,000 MNT prize pool when they complete both Bybit and on-chain tasks. Players earn "wishes" that can be used to enter Lucky Draws or climb the leaderboard for greater rewards.

This campaign, hosted by Bybit in collaboration with Mantle, blends gamification with 

 engagement, offering users multiple ways to win. Participants can choose to rely on chance via the Lucky Draw or strategically allocate their wishes to compete on the leaderboard. The event runs from Mar 6, 2025 to Mar 27, 2025, making it a limited-time opportunity to accumulate rewards while exploring the Mantle ecosystem.

4 Tips to Maximize Your Wishes and Rewards in EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge

To make the most out of EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge, you need to strategize your wish allocation, complete as many tasks as possible and take advantage of all available earning mechanisms. Here are four essential tips to maximize your rewards:

One of the best ways to earn high-value rewards in EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge is by competing on the leaderboard. There are a total of five rounds, and the rewards are higher with each passing round. 

The more wishes you allocate toward leaderboard rankings, the higher your position and the larger your rewards. However, since the leaderboard is dynamic, your rank can change based on the activity of other participants.

Since leaderboard positions fluctuate, it’s recommended that you monitor your ranking regularly and adjust your strategy accordingly. Players who accumulate the most wishes by the end of each leaderboard round will receive the greatest rewards.

 that each round’s rewards and wishes are calculated independently, and any wishes spent in a round won’t carry over to the next round.

If you prefer an element of surprise, the Lucky Draw is your best bet. By spending wishes on Lucky Draw attempts, you earn the chance to win instant prizes. The Lucky Draw operates on a first-come, first-served basis, so the earlier you participate, the better your chances of securing top-tier rewards.

Since rewards are limited, it's advisable to use your wishes early before the top prizes run out.

An easy way to earn free points in this campaign is by holding Mantle (MNT) and/or Mantle Restaked ETH (cmETH) in your Bybit account. By simply keeping these assets in your wallet, you’ll receive additional wishes, increasing your chances of winning more rewards.

This passive method of earning wishes ensures that you accumulate extra points without actively completing tasks, making it one of the simplest ways to boost your rewards.

Another hidden gem for doubling your rewards in EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge is through Layer 3. Participants who complete specific Layer 3 quests will receive extra bonuses, including double rewards on certain tasks.

By leveraging Layer 3 bonuses, you can significantly boost your total wish count, increasing your chances of securing leaderboard positions or hitting big wins in the Lucky Draw.

If you’re looking for a fun and rewarding way to engage with the Mantle ecosystem, EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge is definitely an event worth joining. With 1,000,000 MNT up for grabs, both casual users and seasoned traders can benefit from this campaign.

The event's dual-reward system allows participants to tailor their strategy based on their preferences. Whether you enjoy the thrill of luck-based rewards or prefer the competitive edge of leaderboard climbing, this campaign offers something for everyone.

Additionally, holding MNT and cmETH provides passive earnings, while Layer 3 integration presents an opportunity for double rewards — making the experience even more lucrative for active participants.

EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge is a limited-time, gamified rewards campaign that blends trading, staking and on-chain interactions. By completing tasks, holding Mantle assets and strategically using your wishes, you can maximize your rewards and secure your share of the 1,000,000 MNT prize pool.

This event runs from Mar 6, 2025 to 27, 2025, so now is the best time to get started. Are you ready to explore the Mantle ecosystem and claim your rewards? Join EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge today!

Beginner

how to participate in ecogalaxy mantle surge

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Join Bybit’s AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle, vote for top AI projects and compete for a share of a $1M prize pool. Earn rewards while shaping the future of AI in crypto.

The Bybit AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle is an exciting and innovative trading and voting event that aims to identify and support high-potential AI projects within the cryptocurrency space.

As artificial intelligence (AI) continues to revolutionize blockchain technology, this competition offers users a unique opportunity to engage with emerging AI-driven crypto projects while earning substantial rewards of up to $1 million.

 (AI) and cryptocurrency is reshaping blockchain and 

 — autonomous programs powered by machine learning — are revolutionizing the sector by automating trading strategies, optimizing portfolio management and executing on-chain decisions with minimal human input.

These intelligent agents analyze vast datasets, identify market trends and execute trades in real time, significantly enhancing efficiency and reducing risks in the volatile crypto market. Their role extends beyond trading, influencing DeFi protocols, NFT markets and blockchain governance.

Bybit is at the forefront of this AI-driven transformation, launching the 

 to spotlight high-potential AI projects. This event provides a launchpad for groundbreaking AI applications, connecting innovators with a global crypto audience.

What Is the Bybit AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle?

Bybit is launching a unique AI trading event designed to highlight the most promising AI-driven crypto projects.

AI is revolutionizing crypto markets, with automated trading bots now executing over 60% of all crypto transactions. The integration of AI and blockchain is unlocking new trading strategies, DeFi innovations and web3 applications, making the AI sector one of the most promising in crypto.

Bybit’s AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle bridges AI and blockchain, providing a global stage for emerging projects to gain exposure to a global audience. Participants play an active role in shaping the future of AI in crypto while earning rewards.

How to Participate in the AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle

Campaign Period: Feb 28, 2025, 10AM UTC – Mar 27, 2025, 10AM UTC

Bybit users can support AI projects and earn rewards by participating in this AI-powered trading competition. Here's a step-by-step guide to joining:

Projects earn voting points from the following ways:

By actively trading and voting, participants not only have a chance to earn from the $1 million prize pool, but will also play a crucial role in shaping the future of AI in the crypto industry.

Bybit's AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle offers an exciting $1 million prize pool, with multiple ways for participants to win rewards.

The breakdown of how votes are allocated for Bybit Spot is as follows:

The breakdown of how votes are allocated for Bybit Web3 is as follows:

The maximum number of daily votes that a user can receive is 100,400 (50,200 for Bybit Spot and Web3 respectively).

By trading, voting and engaging in the competition, participants not only support innovative AI projects but also receive a chance to maximize their earnings in this high-stakes trading battle.

Bybit's AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle offers a distinctive platform that connects cryptocurrency traders with AI innovators. Participants are invited to support leading AI projects, earn attractive rewards and contribute to shaping the future of AI within the crypto ecosystem. 

 and be part of the AI-driven revolution on Bybit!

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How to Participate in Bybit’s AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle

Candlestick

Trading

Bear flag patterns are an important warning sign for traders to spot. In this article, we'll explain how you can do just that.

Spotting trends can be a challenging task for beginners. However, trends can help a trader to spot market movements — and come up with trading strategies that make big bucks when used correctly.

The bear flag pattern anticipates the continuation of a bearish downtrend, following a pullback, a temporary price reversal.

More often than not, experienced traders will spot trends in order to meet their investment objectives. Whether you’re a beginner or an experienced trader, here’s an overview of what you will learn about pattern trading:

A bear flag pattern is a formation that is usually distinguishable on the candlestick chart. It is formed from the flag pole, which is the steep downward move before the pullback, and the flag itself represents the actual retracement.

As it is a trend extension, the bear flag chart is regarded as a trend continuation pattern. Initially, the price pattern will trend downward until a new support level is formed. 

This is when the flag emerges in the form of an upward consolidation channel. After a while, the price breaks below the support level of the flag and continues the bearish trend. This signals cryptocurrency traders to open short positions so they may benefit from the price decline.

 is often misunderstood as a complicated financial instrument to trade in the black market. In its purest form, cryptocurrency is much like forex. It is a medium of exchange, albeit not a legal tender.

 that work in the traditional forex market can be used for trading cryptocurrencies. 

Still, Bitcoin and most of the altcoins are very volatile and unpredictable. This is why you should use risk management techniques. 

To enhance the relevance of the bear flag, you can rely on technical indicators like moving averages and keep an eye on the volume indicator. Usually, the bearish volume increases as the flag’s pole is forming, until the consolidation. This indicates that the bearish sentiment is strong and that the consolidation might be temporary.

The bear flag pattern has been used for decades in the stock, foreign exchange and commodity markets, among others. Therefore, crypto traders have adopted the bear pattern, along with the bull flag, which we will discuss further.

The bear flag pattern has two key elements: the pole and the flag. Other elements to pay attention to are the volume indicator and the breakout. Here is what you should look for on the chart:

First, you have to determine the flag pole, which coincides with the initial price decline driven by strong bearish momentum. At this point, the downward movement can be steep, while the volume indicator may ascend.

To recap, here are the main elements of the bear flag pattern:

Bear Flag and Bull Flag Patterns Explained

The bull flag pattern is the evil twin of the bear flag pattern. It shows up in bullish markets. The two patterns have similar structures. The only major difference refers to the trend direction. The bull flag pattern appears during an uptrend. Thus, the bull flag’s pole represents an ascending line. 

The flag itself is looking downward and it represents a temporary correction. Once the price breaks above the flag’s resistance line, traders are interested in opening long positions. The rules of the stop-loss and the take profit are practically the same, only inverted.

 is the volume. When the bull flag pattern shows up, the volume tends to increase during the pole and then drop during the consolidation. Nevertheless, the behavior of the volume indicator during the bear flag pattern is not the same. The indicator also increases during the flag’s pole, but it tends to sustain the same level rather than decline.

The flag shows that an existing trend has reached the oversold (in the case of a downtrend) or overbought (in the case of a bullish trend) level. The market needs a rest. Thus, after a steep price movement, the price will move in the opposite direction for a while. 

Once the pullback is over, the price continues to move in the direction of the current trend. 

To get a better signal, it makes sense to combine the flag pattern with one of the oscillators. For example, you can use the Relative Strength Index (RSI). In a bullish market, the flag elements following the pole might show up during the overbought level.

How to Trade Crypto With a Bear Flag Pattern

As compared to other chart formations, trading with the bear flag pattern is quite easy to comprehend. You can rely on the dynamics of the flag chart pattern alone to come up with a strategy to profit from the bearish market. Here are the key aspects of the standard trading system based on the flag pattern:

: The flag is a continuation pattern, but that doesn’t mean you should place the short order right after the price breaks below the flag’s support. Instead, you should 

wait for the confirmation of the downtrend to avoid a false signal

Traders typically wait for a candle to close below the flag’s support line and then go short during the next candle. Patience and discipline are very important, particularly for day traders, especially when trading volatile cryptocurrencies.

If the price is moving in an opposing direction, you should use a

. Traders typically place the stop-loss order above the resistance line of the flag. 

For example, let’s say that we trade Bitcoin on the hourly chart. If the lower line of the flag is at $42,000 and the upper line is at $43,000, you would be interested in placing the stop-loss order above $43,000.

 As mentioned above, conservative traders tend to 

use the distance between the flag’s parallel trend lines to set the profit target

. In our example, the difference between the two lines is $1,000, so we will add this amount to the price at the breakout entry point, which is $41,800. Thus, our price target is $40,800. 

More aggressive traders can use the flag’s pole (without the flag itself) to set the price target. However, the price might find a support level earlier than that. A good recommendation is to check previous strong

. If there are any, they can work this time as well, defying the pattern’s prediction.

Before placing an order, you should watch for the evolution of the bear flag pattern until the breakout point. A breakout occurs when a price movement exceeds the defined support or resistance level. The retracement of the flag should not be higher than 50% compared to the pole. 

. If the breakout occurs during these conditions, you should be ready to go short. As mentioned, be sure to look out for a candle to close below the flag’s support, and open the short position during the next candle.

To succeed in trading with flag patterns, it’s wise to always use volume as a guide when making a decision on your entry and exit point of a target price. This will help you to confirm the breakout and to speculate as to the momentum after it.

Yes, the bear flag is considered one of the most popular price action patterns, along with double top, and head and shoulders. Still, it doesn’t mean that all of the signals it provides will be 100% accurate, especially when you trade cryptocurrencies. To limit potential losses in case the price defies the pattern’s rules, use risk management techniques. The stop-loss is one of the most basic yet powerful risk management tools that you may implement. Another great method is to follow the 1% rule, which suggests that you should not spend more than 1% on a single trade.

Here are the main advantages of the bear flag pattern:

As with any pattern or technical analysis strategy, a trader should be aware of the risks accompanying trading patterns. Here are the main downsides of the formation:

While you might be tempted to trade with technical analysis on shorter time frames, the best results can be achieved on longer ones. For example, you can implement flag-related strategies on the H4 time frame and higher.

To minimize risks and potential losses, a savvy crypto trader will practice the pattern’s rules on a demo account, or start with small amounts of funds. This will help you to more easily identify the flag formations, and implement the rules accordingly.

Candlestick Patterns Professional Traders Use

 – A curated list of candlestick patterns most frequently used by traders

 – Learn the basics of candlestick patterns

 (Chart basics: trend, neckline, wedges)

What Is a Bear Flag Pattern? How to Use it to Trade Crypto Effectively

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