The PENGU Spot ETF is the first NFT-based crypto ETF application, as Canary Capital aims to merge NFTs and DeFi—will the SEC approve this groundbreaking move

January 2024 marked a pivotal point in the crypto industry: the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved a bunch of 

 (ETFs) after a decade of resisting it. Later that year, several Ethereum (ETH) Spot ETFs were also approved. These early successes encouraged investment funds focused on digital assets to seek approvals for other 

 (AVAX) and other high-cap cryptos have ended up on the SEC's desk in recent months.

Until Mar 20, 2025, one thing had never occurred: an 

-based crypto ETF application. Such a move was thought to border on impossibility, given how stringently and at length the SEC evaluated ETF applications even for established fungible cryptos. And yet, the Canary Capital investment manager submitted an application to the SEC for approval of the first NFT-focused crypto ETF product, the PENGU Spot ETF, triggering a mini-revolution in the emerging space at the junction of crypto and traditional finance.

If approved, this ETF will be the first of its kind in the industry, based on a mix of 

. Many observers expect Canary Capital to struggle mightily for SEC endorsement of its revolutionary product. Nevertheless, the SEC now has a track record of approving crypto ETFs — which raises hopes for both the altcoin ETFs mentioned above and the PENGU Spot ETF application.

The PENGU Spot ETF is a proposed exchange-traded fund (ETF) product introduced by the Canary Capital investment management firm, and is currently awaiting approval by the SEC. 

 on Mar 20, 2025, making this the first crypto ETF product with an NFT component that’s vying for the approval of America's primary financial regulator. The ETF has been registered in the US state of Delaware.

The Pengu Spot ETF's portfolio is envisioned as consisting primarily of PENGU tokens that will make up anywhere between 80% and 95% of total assets held, with the rest allocated to Pudgy Penguins NFTs. Small portions of Solana's SOL coins and Ethereum's ETH tokens will also be included in order to facilitate transactions and liquidity support, as PENGU tokens are mainly issued on the Solana blockchain, and Pudgy Penguins NFTs are an Ethereum-based collection. 

Since Canary Capital will hold these assets and periodically rebalance the portfolio, gas fee payments on Solana and Ethereum will apply, with fees paid in SOL and ETH, respectively.

Launched in 2021 on Solana, the Pudgy Penguins NFT collection consists of 8,888 items, each depicting a cute penguin with a distinct combination of five different traits. In December 2024, the project introduced a related fungible cryptocurrency, the Ethereum-based PENGU token. As of Apr 2, 2025, PENGU is a smaller-cap asset, ranked 191st in the crypto market, with a total 

 of $319 million. In contrast, Pudgy Penguins are among the leading projects in the NFT space, ranked second among all NFT collections, with a market cap of $155 million.

Canary Capital's application to the SEC is unique in two ways: it’s the first ETF with an NFT component, and it marks the first time ETF approval has been sought for a relatively smaller-cap cryptocurrency, PENGU, which isn’t even among the top 100 crypto assets by market cap. All of the other crypto ETF applications approved by the SEC (or currently vying for approval) are based on high-cap, leading assets that are typically ranked within the top 30.

As of Apr 2, 2025, the SEC has had the application for the PENGU Spot ETF application for just two weeks. The regulator has up to 240 days to review such applications, although historically, the SEC has pondered over crypto ETF applications for years. Now, however, the string of Bitcoin and Ethereum Spot ETF approvals in 2024 raises hopes that newer submissions may be subject to an already established evaluation framework — and thus greenlighted much faster.

At the moment, the SEC is also considering spot ETF applications for several high-cap cryptocurrencies, including Dogecoin, Solana, Polkadot, 

 (XRP). If the regulator decides to approve the applications in batch mode — all or several at once — Canary Capital will have reason to hope that its ETF is included.

However, there's been skepticism regarding the PENGU Spot ETF application, with some analysts believing that its chances might differ from those of the larger, more established altcoin ETFs. This isn't surprising, as a PENGU Spot ETF would be a distinct product, being the first NFT-focused ETF. In addition, NFTs have more limited liquidity than fungible cryptocurrencies. 

NFTs may also be harder to valuate objectively. The prices of fungible cryptos are easily sourced from the crypto market, where supply and demand establish their value. In contrast, the limited liquidity and uniqueness of NFTs makes it much harder to price them efficiently.

Moreover, the PENGU token — which will make up most of the proposed ETF — isn't among the most traded assets in the crypto market. Because PENGU has a modest position in the crypto space (along with its origins as a 

), the SEC could view it with more skepticism than it does the leading altcoins.

Naturally, all these factors are just speculation at this point, and we’ll need to wait on the SEC’s initial comments regarding the first NFT-based ETF under their consideration in order to form a more defined view of the product's prospects for approval.

Current impact of the PENGU Spot ETF application on the crypto market

The news of the PENGU Spot ETF application has so far had no appreciable impact on the price of the PENGU token itself. On the day of the application (Mar 20, 2025), the token was trading at around $0.007. Two weeks later, it's still hovering around the same price. 

On the other hand, there's been a modest increase in the average price of Pudgy Penguins NFTs traded on the market: between March 20 and 28, the average price rose by 16% from around $16,450 to $19,120, though it has since retraced slightly to $17,490 as of Apr 2.

Given the modest price effect, investors are likely still cautious about the chances for the PENGU Spot ETF's approval.

However, if it is approved, the broader impact on the crypto market could be far-reaching, as such a step would signify the SEC's openness to both NFT-based ETFs, and ETFs made up of smaller-cap cryptocurrencies, including meme coins. The number of tokenized asset funds that offer NFT-based products would then be likely to increase significantly, facilitating mainstream NFT adoption within traditional financial markets.

An SEC approval of the PENGU Spot ETF may lead to a flurry of further ETF applications based on NFTs in some form. This could even include the first ETFs composed entirely of NFTs. Other crypto asset types — e.g., 

 (RWAs) — may also become candidates for the SEC’s consideration. Furthermore, in the unlikely event that Canary Capital’s PENGU Spot ETF were to be approved ahead of the altcoin spot ETFs currently in the SEC’s pipeline, it would send a very strong signal that those ETF applications are also a sure bet.

The current PENGU Spot ETF application is a pioneering event that may open up opportunities for NFT ETFs and other crypto ETFs based on partial NFT holdings. Although the SEC approved multiple Bitcoin Spot ETFs in early 2024, few people expected an NFT-based ETF to emerge so soon afterward. Probably even fewer expected a meme coin–based ETF to be taken seriously by the SEC. Unique in so many ways, the PENGU ETF flips the entire concept of traditional ETFs on its head.

Canary Capital's attempt to get approval for an NFT-backed ETF is truly a bold undertaking, though observers said the same thing about 

 just a few years ago. Someone needed to become a trailblazer in this area — and Canary Capital has taken up the noble role without hesitation. Now, all eyes are on the SEC as it prepares to weigh in on a product it has never before encountered.

Intermediate

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PENGU Spot ETF: A bold move for NFT investing — or just hype?

In this article, we break down what to expect from Liberation Day and how it could shape the outlook for equities, the US economy and crypto markets.

 April 2, 2025 as "Liberation Day" — a moment he claims will restore America's trade fairness through sweeping reciprocal tariffs. With few concrete details confirmed, global markets remain on edge. Investors are bracing for the economic fallout of a potential trade war, and crypto traders are watching closely to assess the impact on digital assets. In this article, we break down what to expect from “Liberation Day” and how it could shape the outlook for equities, the US economy and crypto markets.

Since returning to the White House in January 2025, President Trump has prioritized reshaping US trade policy with a renewed focus on tariffs. His administration has already announced 

 on all steel and aluminum imports. Many of these actions take effect this week, coinciding with his so-called Liberation Day.

Trump argues that tariffs are a necessary tool to reduce the US trade deficit and force foreign nations to stop what he calls "economic warfare" against the American worker. Treasury secretary Scott Bessent 

 countries with persistent trade surpluses — dubbed the 

 — as primary targets for reciprocal tariffs. These include China, the EU, Canada and Mexico.

However, critics point to the growing risk of a global trade war, with multiple partners already threatening or initiating retaliatory measures. Goldman Sachs recently 

, citing declining business confidence and mounting economic uncertainty. The tariffs, designed to protect US industries, could instead raise prices and weigh on consumer spending.

What to expect from Trump's ‘Liberation Day’ announcement

Trump is expected to reveal his tariff plans in a Rose Garden press conference on April 2. White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt 

 that the president would impose tariffs on "any country that has treated the American people unfairly" — though no nation-specific exemptions have been confirmed. Trump has promised these reciprocal tariffs will be 

While final details remain under wraps, proposals have included both country-wide and sector-specific tariffs. These could range from uniform, percentage-based levies to targeted charges on industries like pharmaceuticals, semiconductors and autos. Trump's advisers, including Trump trade adviser Peter Navarro and commerce secretary Howard Lutnick, claim the new tariffs could generate over $600 billion annually — though many economists dispute this figure.

Delayed tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports, 

 in early March, are also set to take effect this week. These include taxes on agricultural products, energy goods and automotive components. Trump has also 

 a 25% tariff on imports from countries that purchase oil or gas from Venezuela.

Given the administration's conflicting signals in recent weeks, there's a wide range of potential outcomes. Whether “Liberation Day” ushers in immediate enforcement, additional delays or future negotiation rounds remains to be seen. For now, uncertainty reigns.

Potential impact on the US economy and global markets

Economists warn that broad-based tariffs could lead to slower US growth, higher consumer prices and widening inequality. Goldman Sachs now 

 Trump's trade policies to reduce annual GDP growth to 1.5% from 2%, while the odds of a recession are being raised from 20% to 35%.

Global equity markets have already shown signs of stress. European and Asian indices dipped ahead of “Liberation Day,” while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 

 in March (respectively). Auto manufacturers, tech firms and retailers could be especially vulnerable if tariffs disrupt global supply chains.

There's also the question of the Federal Reserve's response. With inflation risks rising, policymakers may hold off on anticipated rate cuts, further complicating the economic outlook heading into Q2.

How will ‘Liberation Day’ affect the crypto industry?

Crypto markets have mirrored broader risk sentiment over the past quarter, with investors reducing exposure amid macroeconomic turbulence. As of April 1, the 

 is down 16.9% year-to-date. Bitcoin has fallen 10.48%, Ethereum 44.2% and Solana 33% — despite reaching new highs in January on hopes for pro-crypto policies from the Trump administration.

Investor optimism has since cooled as recession risks, inflation concerns and policy unpredictability drive a risk-off mood. Bitcoin dipped to $81,656 over the weekend, marking its weakest Q1 since 2018. Traders remain cautious ahead of “Liberation Day,” awaiting clarity before opening new positions.

“Liberation Day” could further weigh on crypto prices if market volatility increases and capital rotates out of risk assets. However, some analysts believe any resulting sell-off may offer an opportunity to 

 — especially if Trump follows through on crypto-friendly regulation later this year. For now, though, many eyes are on April 2.

With details still unknown, the crypto market remains in a "wait-and-see" phase. “Liberation Day” could mark a turning point — for better or worse — depending upon the scope and execution of Trump's tariff agenda.

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Trump's 'Liberation Day': What it means for crypto markets

Grayscale has filed to convert its private Digital Large Cap Fund, which includes Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and Cardano, into a publicly available exchange-traded fund (ETF). 

Daily top performer — Compound Finance (COMP)

The S&P 500 rose 0.38% as investors awaited new tariffs amid weak factory data and declining job openings. Gold eased to $3,113 after hitting a record high, driven by profit-taking ahead of Trump's tariff announcement, but remains strong due to safe-haven demand and economic uncertainties. The Coindesk Indices, which tracks the broader crypto market, are up by 1.30%, with Bitcoin and Ether are up 3.10% and 5.19%, respectively, in the past 24 hours. Trade these markets and more with up to 500x leverage on Bybit MT5 using this 

Today's top performer is COMP, up 14.3%, following the proposal for the creation of a foundation to ensure consistent leadership and coordination by Compound.

Compound Finance (COMP), launched in September 2018, is a DeFi lending platform that allows users to earn interest on crypto assets. Built on smart contracts, it adjusts interest rates based on supply and demand, connecting lenders and borrowers without intermediaries. In June 2020, Compound decentralized with the launch of COMP and full governance transfer. However, it lacks a core operational pillar. With Compound v4 development and increased community engagement, the need for consistent leadership has grown. To address this, Compound Labs 

 creating a Compound Foundation for structure, clarity, and coordination, similar to other ecosystems like Uniswap.

Check out the latest prices, charts, and data of 

 to convert its private Digital Large Cap Fund, which includes Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and Cardano, into a publicly available exchange-traded fund (ETF). The fund, which currently holds 79.4% Bitcoin and 10.69% Ethereum, has grown by 478.83% since its launch in 2018. The conversion would allow everyday investors to access the crypto market, covering about 75% of the digital asset market cap. If successful, it would eliminate the current barrier that restricts access to accredited investors. The filing is still in progress, with management fees and other details pending.

Yesterday, BTC spot ETF had a total outflow of $157.8 million, with GBTC seeing a loss of $10.1 million and non-GBTC products losing $147.7 million.

 that its airdrop might be approaching, with a claim page now live. Registration for the airdrop runs from April 2 to April 17, and claims are expected to open on April 22. However, nothing has been officially confirmed yet. Stay tuned for updates.

Beginner

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Grayscale files to convert digital large cap fund into publicly accessible crypto ETF

In this guide, we'll dive into how to trade crypto with the Bybit app, a convenient and feature-rich platform. Explore spot and derivatives trading for beginners on the Bybit app.

Welcome to our step-by-step guide on trading using the Bybit app. In this article, we’ll walk you through everything you need to know — from downloading the app and setting up your account to executing spot, margin and derivatives trades. Bybit is a leading cryptocurrency exchange that offers a fully localized and user-friendly mobile experience, making it easy for both beginning and seasoned traders to manage their investments seamlessly.

First, download the Bybit app from the App Store (iOS) or Google Play (Android). Once you’ve installed the app, open it and select your preferred language.

 and register using your email address or phone number. Complete the verification process by submitting your mainland Chinese ID or passport as required. This step is crucial to ensure your account is secure, and to unlock higher withdrawal limits.

After verifying your identity, head over to the 

 tab to fund your account. You can directly deposit cryptocurrencies like BTC or USDT. Our 

 (UTA) streamlines fund management, allowing you to trade seamlessly across different markets without the hassle of multiple wallets.

Spot trading with Bybit lets you buy or sell cryptocurrencies at current market prices with immediate settlement.

To begin, log in to the app and tap on the 

Choose your desired trading pair, such as BTC/USDC or ETH/USDT, from the list.

 lets you specify a price at which you want to buy or sell. 

Enter the amount you wish to trade, review the details and confirm your order.

Once your order is executed, monitor its status in the 

Bybit has an intuitive interface that displays real-time updates, so you can track your trades anytime with ease. 

How to execute a spot margin trade with the Bybit app

For traders looking to leverage their positions, Bybit offers a spot margin trading feature that allows you to borrow funds to increase your buying power. Start by logging into your account and tapping on 

Choose a trading pair, such as ETH/USDC, which supports margin trading with leverage options of up to 10x. 

Once your trading pair is selected, you’ll need to select the margin amount (e.g., 

 at which you want your limit order to execute.

You’ll also see several other important metrics, such as 

Enter the amount you wish to trade, and then carefully review all of the details.

After confirming your order, your margin trade will be executed. You can track your position in the 

 tab, where you can also set up stop-loss or take-profit orders to manage risk. 

How to trade derivatives with the Bybit app

Bybit also offers derivatives trading, which allows you to speculate on the price movements of cryptocurrencies without actually owning the underlying assets. Derivatives include Futures and Perpetual contracts, which can be traded with leverage, sometimes up to 100x.

To start, log in to your account and tap on 

Set your desired leverage (e.g., 50x) and choose between 

 margin modes, based on your risk preference.

 (if using limit or conditional orders) and 

Once you’re satisfied with your parameters, confirm your order and your position will appear in the 

Trading with the Bybit app offers numerous advantages that make managing digital assets both efficient and secure. The platform’s user-friendly design, high-speed execution and comprehensive risk management tools cater to traders of all levels. Our Unified Trading Account (UTA) streamlines fund management by consolidating assets for spot, margin and derivatives trading under one account, which reduces operational complexity and enhances overall efficiency. This streamlined approach lets you focus on strategy rather than logistics.

Additionally, Bybit’s state-of-the-art security measures — such as multi-factor authentication, regular independent audits and cold storage of assets — ensure that your transactions are conducted safely and transparently. With an interface designed to minimize distractions and provide real-time data, you can quickly monitor market movements and adjust positions. 

Our commitment to a secure and reliable trading experience is evident in our continuous improvements and proactive customer support. These features empower you to make informed trading decisions, fostering confidence in your ability to navigate the dynamic crypto market.

Bybit delivers a secure, robust and intuitive mobile platform that simplifies cryptocurrency trading for everyone. In this guide, we’ve explored how to set up an account, fund it and execute various types of trades — spot, margin and derivatives — using a fully localized and user-friendly interface. Our Unified Trading Account and comprehensive risk management tools ensure a smooth trading experience so you can focus on growing your investments.

Looking ahead, Bybit remains dedicated to innovation and excellence in the crypto industry. We continually refine our platform, based on user feedback and market trends, ensuring that you have access to the latest tools and features. Our commitment to transparency and security underpins everything we do as we build trust and empower traders. 

How to trade spot crypto on Bybit app.png

How to trade with the Bybit app

Bybit Learn

Interviews

Bybit Learn spoke to TraderMercury, a long-time Bybit partner and trader known for his disciplined and philosophical approach to markets. 

Bybit Learn spoke to TraderMercury (@TraderMercury on X), a long-time Bybit partner and trader known for his disciplined and philosophical approach to markets. 

Mercury reveals his journey as a trader, how he overcame his biggest challenges and navigated markets to become a successful trader.

Please note that this article and any tokens mentioned does not constitute financial advice. The interview has been edited for formatting and grammatical accuracy.

Q: Firstly — congratulations on retiring your parents! How did that feel?

 It feels incredible. My family has been through a lot and many of my followers have heard my story about how my parents went from being broke, to millionaires, to being homeless. My ultimate goal has been to grant them an early retirement ever since I was 14 years old, and at the end of 2024 I was finally able to do that, thanks to markets.

Q: You've tweeted that you got into crypto 7 years ago — how did you first get into trading crypto? What sparked your interest, and what motivated you to dive into the wild west of crypto?

 I initially got into crypto by scrolling Twitter and seeing an ad for XRP/Ripple at the time. It piqued my interest and I immediately saw crypto as a ‘get-rich-quick’ scheme. I was naive enough to dive into things head first, and ironically I actually did get rich quick — I bought just before the final push upwards in 2017, and my account was up 4x in the span of a few weeks. I remember thinking to myself: “I’ll just hold these assets forever and retire,” to which I was met with -90% drawdowns over the course of the next few months, after taking no profit at all.

I became intrigued by the premise of volatility. My large losses only exacerbated my fuel to achieve large gains; I figured someone was making money from this market, why couldn’t it be me?

Q: Tell us about TraderMecury's trading journey — what were some of the biggest challenges you faced as a beginner, what advice would you give yourself if you were just starting out?

 My trading journey was initially described above, and was followed by a large humbling in March of 2020. Prior to that, I had spent the past 2 years recovering my losses from that initial naivety since joining crypto, and once again managed to rally my account 5x in that time period, leading up to March 2020. When the covid crash happened, I was caught with positions in the middle of it, and due to a failure of applying risk management, and overconfidence in my abilities, I was once again met with -80% drawdown on my entire portfolio — which, because I was only 20 years old at the time, also happened to be 100% of my net worth.

That moment was by far the most difficult event I’ve ever dealt with, but the most difficult aspect of trading was my inability to hold unrealized profit.

After my humbling, I regathered myself and restructured my approach from the very foundation. I began to view the market differently than my prior-self. I was now finding myself detaching from the market and at peace with the way I was trading, which felt very refreshing in comparison to the 2 years I had spent prior slaving away at the charts and utterly destroying my mental health.

But I was met with a new issue: I often closed positions too early, out of fear that the market would take those gains away just as quickly as it gave me those gains. I was now struck with trauma due to my experiences.

It was difficult, but I had to pace myself; slowing down with the amount I was trading with, and also forcing myself to hold positions, no matter how much my brain wanted to impulsively close positions out of randomness.

Q: You're known for your disciplined approach to trading, your 'snowball to snowman' way of thinking and trend-following strategy. Tell us about how you use it to navigate markets.

 After March 2020, when the dust had settled and I was forced to look at my new, networth of -80% lower than where it had been just a few weeks prior, I remember thinking to myself “there was nothing I could have done.” But I soon realized that was not true — I saw the downtrend, I acknowledged the drawdown, I knew what options I had, yet I consciously decided to do nothing. I had friends that made a doctor's annual salary during that same event. Again, I thought to myself, “why couldn’t that be me?”

I vowed to never let the market ‘catch me off-guard’ ever again. I realized that for whatever happens next, I must see it coming to a smaller degree first in order for that same momentum to be exaggerated further — hence “it is impossible to build a snowman without making a snowball first.”

Combine that analogy with the manner of which you build a 1000-piece puzzle. You do not randomly grab two pieces and question if they go together — you grab the pieces with a flat-edge, which clearly makes the border for the puzzle, and start there. You then fragment the puzzle and categorize by color schemes, using objects within the puzzle that are more easily identifiable, and begin piecing those together. From there, the puzzle’s completion is well on its way, and by understanding each section of the puzzle, you’ve now given yourself the clarity to understand the puzzle in its entirety, with the utmost clarity.

The analysis I make about any market operates in the same manner. I understand what’s occurring on one timeframe, and how that relates with the timeframes higher or lower. I keep repeating this process until the chart as a whole makes sense — at which point I’m now able to break down the market's complicated movements to a 5-year old, as if I were reading a storybook. Context is key, so considering the context of one timeframe into the next is a great way of adopting an intuition, a feel for the market’s movements and getting a jump on what may happen next.

Q: What was your best trade? How did you go through with the thesis, setup, execution and exit?

 My best trade as of now was just recently, as I bought Bitcoin around $57k, and sold it at an average of $100k. The percentage gain may not seem like much for crypto natives, but due to my conviction in the thesis I was playing into, I was able to justify risking more than usual in order to fully capitalize on the opportunity before me. Conviction is that feeling in your gut that tells you you’re witnessing an incredible opportunity in its’ infancy, before the greater market has been able to identify it — I remember telling the members in my discord that the price action in September 2024 and the sentiment in the air reminded me of the bear market lows in 2022. As a trader that thrives off of exaggerated momentum driven moves, it’s my job to extract lots of value from those moves; I also remember telling my members, both at the time and now, about how “even though I’ve managed to benefit from all 6 of the major rallies throughout the past 2 years, I’ve only ever compared to the bear market lows once” — that’s conviction.

Prior to that rally, my biggest win was in March 2023, once again on Bitcoin, after USDC began to depeg. I felt my back was against the wall as I hold most of my trading portfolio in USDC whenever I’m pending a new setup, and the environment at the time was plagued with uncertainty — not just for stablecoins, but for banks that were seemingly going insolvent every other week as well. Even though it was against my trading philosophy to do so, I managed to buy Bitcoin at the exact bottom with a bulk portion of my trading account, just beneath $20k, before it rallied to $30k in the next week — thanks to a fundamental understanding of Bitcoin as an asset. Whenever I tell this story, people immediately interject that I got lucky, and whilst luck plays a role in every success story, I like to believe that my luck was a byproduct of my discipline and decisions leading up to a major FUD event. Remember in March 2020 I did not have the luxury of ‘buying the dip’ — this time, I had previously cut positions 15-20% higher than where the market bent my hand and forced me to buy Bitcoin due to its’ fundamentals. The tier of quality of options that I had given myself were substantially greater than what an alternate version of myself could have been presented with, and therefore, so was the outcome.

Q: How do you maintain emotional control and deal with FOMO or fear during extreme market volatility?

 At some point, I think you become numb to it. I’ve found myself treating volatility as ‘normal’ and because I’ve traded the market for over 7 years now, there’s nothing that I haven’t seen, in either direction. That emotional discipline and maturity comes with experience — which is why it’s frequently mentioned that experience, especially in crypto, is invaluable. I also like to remind myself that “opportunity is abundant.” In a true manic rally, there is always more opportunity than what you can catch, so it’s inevitable that you will miss out on most things. The beauty in this is: even if you manage to capture a crumb of the opportunity that’s presented to you, that alone can be sufficient. It’s imperative to accept that you will not catch everything, and also realize that you do not need to. Bend your perspective to be in an ‘abundance’ mindset as opposed to a ‘scarcity’ mindset.

Fear on the other hand is inevitable; regardless of your positioning, there is always something to be fearful of. If you’re long: you fear a selloff. If you’re sidelined or short: you fear a market rally. If fear is inevitable, then it is also redundant. Find a way to mitigate fear of the market by taking comfort in whatever risk you’re taking, and formulate a strategy that allows you to express that positioning in a rational manner in order to achieve that comfort. ‘Balance’ is incredibly underrated, and allows for greater and more consistent results over time, in my experience; whereas extreme positioning and stances in the market invoke emotions and often create large setbacks.

Q: The recent market selloff has hit a lot of traders hard. How did you navigate the drawdown, and what tips would you give to those who’ve taken significant losses?

 As mentioned above I managed to cash out some of my investments, as well as close positions near the highs. There were a few losses that were taken since then as the market began to chop up and eventually downtrend, but that’s nothing out of the ordinary for me with my system — I navigated this selloff just like every other selloff in the market, and to the degree that I expect myself to. I have my fair share of bags that went to 0, but that was a calculated risk, which had previously paid off, and is not a substantial portion of my trading account by any means, mostly because I knew exactly what I was doing and “if you play stupid games, you’ll win stupid prizes.” 

So it’s not to say that I was unaffected by the market’s downturn, it’s just that it’s nothing new for me, and is no different than any other downturn, and I’ve allowed myself the grace to see it that way due to my philosophical approach to markets, and the foundation I’ve built for myself. When I see a downtrend that looks like, smells like and trades like a downtrend… and it continues downtrending, I am not allowed to be surprised. From there, it’s a matter of expressing the discipline and patience to step out of the way and wait for better days; knowing when to deploy capital to take asymmetric risks, but also knowing when to preserve capital in order to have the luxury of deploying later on.

Q: What are your thoughts on the current market condition? Which part of the cycle do you think we are at now, and has the cycle played out as you expected?

 There are lots of caveats, but the cycle has pretty much done exactly what I expected it to. I know people say it’s the worst bull market ever, but I think the market is what you make of it, and it seems unfair to throw labels onto something like that with no way of quantifying it — this has been my best bull market ever. With that said, I’m not sure what to expect next from a cyclical standpoint, and I truly think it’s best to avoid those thoughts because it seems like energy wasted in comparison to the value those thoughts bring, even if uncannily accurate. I do, however, think that the crypto market is broken as of my time of writing, and I’m waiting to see if stocks are as well, because that would be potentially indicative of a market that disallows for recoveries as we’ve seen the past 2 years. Many charts in crypto need lots of repair before we can have a conversation of a bull market resumption, and that’s typically not something that occurs in a few days.

Q: Finally, how do you use Bybit in your day-to-day crypto trading or investing, and what aspects of the platform do you like? Is there anything you would like to see improved on Bybit?

 Bybit has been my primary trading platform since 2019 — back when they only had 3 pairs to trade, and they were all inverse perpetuals, haha! It’s come a long way, and I remain in awe at the improvements made, the integrity of Bybit and its team, and the seamlessness of the trading experience. It is truly incredible to watch Bybit succeed and continue to grow, and I look forward to the future. I think the recent hack, and how Bybit managed to communicate, handle and operate through that unfortunate event, put on a global display of the same values that established my desire to be a partner with Bybit for all these years — absolutely incredible job.

Mastering crypto market psychology with TraderMercury

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Grab Up to 5,000 USDT in Rewards