In this article, we look at the key macroeconomic releases in the US this week, such as jobs numbers, CPI and PPI, and how it could affect markets.

Fears of a US recession and a global trade war have triggered significant downturns in the crypto and stock markets over the past month. As the Trump administration's policies fuel a "period of transition," financial markets are entering a "detox period" characterized by increased volatility and uncertainty. Meanwhile, this is a critical week for investors, with multiple US economic reports being released by Mar 14, 2025.

In this article, Bybit will introduce you to the key macro trends shaping financial markets and crypto prices. You’ll also learn which of this week’s economic reports are the most important to be aware of.

Amid falling stock and crypto prices and market uncertainty, this week is important for investors, with multiple key economic reports being released between March 10 and 14. 

These are the most crucial macro events to watch this week:

A new job openings report was released on Mar 11, 2025, showing that 

 were added in January, bringing total openings to 7.74 million. This signals a resilient labor market, which could have implications for inflation and interest rate expectations.

Investors are now turning their attention to the upcoming reports on 

 on March 12 and the Core Producer Price Index (PPI) on March 13 for further clues on inflation trends. If inflation remains elevated, it could influence the Federal Reserve's policy stance, potentially delaying rate cuts that markets have been anticipating. This could lead to short-term volatility across equities and crypto, as higher interest rates generally make risk assets less attractive to investors.

Despite a strong start this year, the crypto market has taken a significant hit since early February. As of Mar 12, 2025, the combined cryptocurrency market cap

 over the past seven days and 15.24% in the past 30 days. 

Here's how the prices of some major coins have changed:

This market sell-off has triggered a large number of liquidations, 

 over the past 24 hours. Additionally, the 

 has fluctuated between "Fear" and "Extreme Fear" since Feb 25, 2025. This suggests that investors feel pressure to sell their cryptocurrency, driving digital asset prices down.

Cryptocurrency isn’t the only asset class that has recently experienced a significant downturn. In fact, the crypto sell-off is primarily being driven by global market turmoil that has also triggered a stock market downturn within the past few weeks.

The S&P 500 (GSPC), Nasdaq-100 (NDX) and Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) — three of the major stock market indices — are down by 8.18%, 10.94% and 7.09%, respectively, over the past 30 days. What's more, the NDX had its 

 within 24 hours, and the “Magnificent Seven” stocks 

But why did crypto and US stocks fall so heavily over the past month? The answer lies in new warnings that the US economy could be 

. Moreover, investors fear that President Donald Trump's tariffs could lead to a global trade war.

Since his inauguration on Jan 20, 2025, Trump has introduced a 

 on US steel and aluminum imports. Moreover, he’s introduced nation-specific measures against 

Also, the Trump administration is drastically cutting US government spending by 

 and other measures. These policies, combined with the impacts of a brewing trade war, are fueling market volatility and uncertainty in the short term.

, warning of short-term pain for financial markets. According to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, these moves aim to rebalance the economy and could lead to a "detox period."

Intermediate

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Macro this week: Key releases amid recession fear

AI-DOL Superstar Trading Battle is a premier trading and voting event aiming to support emerging AI crypto projects. Find out more about the five key AI mentors helping to shape the future of AI.

The AI-DOL Superstar Trading Battle is a premier AI-driven event hosted by Bybit. It serves as a launchpad for emerging AI-powered crypto projects, offering them a chance to secure a Bybit Spot listing and gain industry recognition.

A key element of the event is its mentorship program, through which leading AI projects provide strategic guidance to new entrants. These mentors offer expertise in AI-driven trading, governance and 

 (DApps), helping promising startups refine their solutions and achieve long-term sustainability.

What is the Bybit AI-DOL SUPERSTAR event?

The Bybit AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle is a unique event that merges artificial intelligence (AI) with blockchain, creating a competitive space for AI-driven crypto projects to gain visibility and adoption.

This event not only fosters innovation in AI and blockchain, but also rewards participants who engage in trading and voting.

The mentorship program is a core pillar of the AI-DOL Trading Battle, pairing AI startups with experienced industry leaders. These mentorships help AI projects refine their algorithms, governance models and trading strategies — key factors for long-term success in web3.

Here’s a look at the five key AI mentors shaping the future of AI-powered crypto:

Luna by Virtuals (LUNAI) — the AI-driven digital performer

Luna by Virtuals is a livestreaming AI influencer built on Virtuals Protocol. Originally part of an AI-powered K-pop group, Luna has over 500,000 TikTok followers, showcasing that AI-driven personalities can thrive in entertainment and web3.

Luna by Virtuals demonstrates the power of AI in digital engagement, which explores AI-driven media, decentralized content creation and tokenized engagement models. This highlights the intersection of AI, blockchain and social influence in web3.

Top Hat (HAT) — the no-code AI agent builder

Top Hat is a Solana-based AI launchpad that enables anyone to create AI agents and tokens without coding expertise. It features simplified crypto analytics, algorithmic trading and token automation, making AI technology accessible to non-technical users.

Top Hat focuses on market predictions, algorithmic trading and smart contract automation. This empowers startups to develop scalable and efficient AI trading solutions for web3.

Cookie DAO (COOKIE) — web3 AI governance and data intelligence

Cookie DAO is a decentralized AI and data governance platform that optimizes AI-driven marketing, analytics and web3 intelligence. It allows 

 data, improving automation and decision-making.

Cookie DAO integrates AI-powered governance models and data analytics into its blockchain projects, thus enhancing scalability and transparency.

ai16z (AI16Z) — AI research fund and web3 incubator

ai16z develops AI investment strategies, funding models and AI-powered blockchain applications, helping emerging projects secure financing and navigate the AI-driven crypto ecosystem. Its AI-focused venture capital and incubation platform combines community-driven funding with AI-powered decision-making, giving it a significant role in accelerating AI adoption in web3.

Alchemist AI (ALCH) — AI-powered no-code development

Alchemist AI is a decentralized AI development platform that enables natural language-based application creation. By leveraging AI and blockchain, it allows users to build, deploy and monetize AI models without expertise in coding.

Alchemist AI optimizes AI training models, automation frameworks and decentralized AI applications, bridging the gap between AI research and real-world blockchain adoption.

The AI-DOL Superstar Trading Battle isn’t just a competition — it’s a launchpad for AI innovation. Mentors help AI startups scale their projects by providing expert guidance, advanced trading strategies and governance models.

Ready to join the AI-DOL Superstar Trading Battle? 

, trade and vote — and support the next AI revolution in web3 now!

Beginner

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Who are the Mentors in Bybit’s AI-DOL SUPERSTAR?

Trump unveiled plans for the Bitcoin strategic reserve and US digital asset stockpile, signing Executive Order 14178. Find out how this works and the implications for Bitcoin and the crypto industry.

The US government has proposed recent initiatives for both a bitcoin strategic reserve and a US digital asset stockpile in order to create a national reserve of cryptocurrencies. The executive order, signed by President Donald Trump on Mar 7, 2025, aims to secure the country’s place in the fast-evolving crypto space. The strategic reserve would include Bitcoin (BTC), the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, while the digital asset stockpile would include other digital assets apart from BTC. 

This article dives into Trump’s vision for crypto, reserve and stockpile details, cryptocurrencies involved, the potential impact on crypto markets and Trump’s broader initiatives for the cryptocurrency industry.

Since his inauguration, President Trump has enthusiastically embraced cryptocurrencies. His administration has rolled out pro-crypto policies to encourage growth and innovation. One standout move was appointing David Sacks, a tech and finance expert, as “AI and Crypto Czar.” Sacks is steering the US toward a crypto-friendly future, overseeing policies that would boost digital assets. 

Trump has been vocal about his ambitions, declaring on his social media channel Truth Social that the US will become the “crypto capital of the world.”

 plans for the Bitcoin strategic reserve and US digital asset stockpile ahead of the first White House Crypto Summit in January 2025. He signed Executive Order 14178, directing the presidential Working Group to establish this digital stockpile. Think of it as a strategic petroleum reserve, but for crypto — a way to secure valuable assets for the nation’s future. 

 highlighted the move on X, calling it a game-changer. The reserve signals the government’s belief in crypto as a long-term economic tool.

How would a Bitcoin strategic reserve work?

A bitcoin strategic reserve as established in the executive order aims to establish Bitcoin as a strategic asset for the US, similar to a 

, highlighting its potential as a store of value.

The reserve's capital would come exclusively from Bitcoin that the federal government already owns, which it obtained through civil and criminal asset forfeiture proceedings, such as seizures from illegal activities (i.e., drug trafficking, money laundering and cybercrimes). This ensures that no new Bitcoin is purchased with public funds for the initial reserve, and that there's no additional cost to taxpayers.

Estimates suggest the US government currently holds around 200,000 Bitcoin (worth approximately $16.5 billion at current market prices). However, a full audit is required, as mandated by the executive order, since there is no official accounting of these holdings.

Furthermore, the government of the United States has established a policy not to sell any Bitcoin that’s added to a Bitcoin strategic reserve. This policy intends to safeguard the value of Bitcoin over the long term, and to avoid financial losses that could occur from selling the cryptocurrency prematurely. 

 Sacks, previous instances of early Bitcoin sales resulted in losses exceeding $17 billion.

Finally, the executive order authorizes the secretaries of the Treasury and Commerce departments to develop “budget-neutral strategies” for acquiring additional Bitcoin, but only if these strategies impose no incremental costs on American taxpayers. This could involve mechanisms like using future forfeiture proceeds or other cost-free methods, but no specific plans or timelines for additional purchases have been detailed.

Alongside the main crypto strategic reserve, a new executive order was also established: the US digital asset stockpile, which would include other cryptocurrencies (beyond Bitcoin) seized through legal actions, as noted in 

Unlike the initial crypto reserve, it wouldn’t actively buy new assets, but would manage existing holdings responsibly under the Department of the Treasury. The goal (per the White House fact sheet) would be to centralize and maximize the value of these assets, ensuring proper oversight and avoiding past losses from premature sales.

 by roughly 5% to $85,000 on Mar 7, 2025, possibly triggered by the announcement and expectations of larger government purchases of BTC, or even a more aggressive strategy. Over the past week, Bitcoin has declined by 11.8% amid a broader market sell-off.

Trump isn’t just talking about crypto — he’s actually acting on it. Beyond the reserve, his administration has pushed forward, for example, with regulatory changes that include the dropping of multiple enforcement cases against crypto firms, easing the way for innovation.

Since Trump took office, the SEC has backed off from several crypto enforcement actions. Dropping these cases has lifted a cloud of uncertainty, giving companies room to experiment and grow. It’s a clear sign of a more relaxed regulatory stance, aligning with Trump’s push to nurture the crypto industry instead of stifling it.

Could these actions spark a global arms race for Bitcoin?

Trump’s crypto strategic reserve, now expanded with the Bitcoin strategic reserve and US digital asset stockpile, marks a defining moment for digital assets in America. 

By planning to stockpile Bitcoin and other seized assets, the US is staking its claim in the global crypto race and recognizing Bitcoin as a legitimate asset. This 

 to consider allocating capital to Bitcoin. 

 that this executive order is merely Trump fulfilling his obligations to the crypto crowd, arguing it’s more symbolic than transformative, akin to the 2021 

 launch, rather than the impactful January 2024 Spot Bitcoin ETF launch. Only time will tell if this move will herald a paradigm shift in global Bitcoin adoption.

bitcoin strategic reserve, digital asset stockpile

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Understanding Trump's crypto executive order: Bitcoin strategic reserve and US digital asset stockpile

In this article, we’ll delve into Bybit Pay to discover its purpose, benefits and robust ecosystem, which caters to individuals, merchants and businesses alike.

As cryptocurrencies continue to gain mainstream adoption, the one field where they still lag behind is in daily use. Most coins and tokens are treated as speculative assets or long-term investments, not as a medium of exchange. The biggest impediment to such adoption is the lack of payment solutions designed to seamlessly merge the advantages of cryptocurrencies with the reliability of the traditional banking system.

In order to change this situation, we need a payment solution that bridges the traditional banking system and 

 to provide a seamless payment solution for the end user. The world’s second-largest cryptocurrency exchange, 

, has launched Bybit Pay with that precise goal in mind. 

Traditional financial systems and blockchain-based ecosystems have long operated in silos, creating friction for users and businesses alike. 

 aims to bridge these barriers, allowing anyone to transact effortlessly across both worlds.

Bybit Pay supports payments in eight cryptocurrencies (including Bitcoin, Ethereum and USDT) and the Brazilian real, and has already integrated with 

 the popular BCB-created payment platform, with more integrations likely to follow in the future.

The biggest advantage of Bybit Pay is that it acts as a bridge between fiat currency and crypto. Bybit Pay allows users and merchants to conduct transactions without worrying about the technical and regulatory challenges that typically accompany crypto payments. By converting crypto to fiat (and vice versa) in real time, the platform ensures that both transacting parties experience minimal friction when a payment is made.

Bybit Pay also unifies merchants, payment processors and service providers worldwide through a single, integrated platform. For example, a retailer in Brazil can effortlessly accept payments via Pix’s local QR code–based system without needing to understand web3, since transactions are seamlessly processed through Bybit’s infrastructure.

Merchants who support Bybit Pay tap a user base of over 60 million Bybit users globally, a large and active community that creates a network effect to benefit customers and merchants alike. The platform’s seamless integration enables merchants to reach a global audience, breaking geographical barriers that often limit growth in traditional markets. Additionally, accepting cryptocurrencies allows businesses to stay ahead of the curve by being early adopters of a payment system that could potentially redefine financial transactions.

Bybit Pay enhances user experience by simple and easy integration with 

. This allows users to keep control of their digital assets, while bridging for traditional payments.

Traders can also use Bybit Pay’s collateralized payment tool to pledge their crypto and borrow the required fiat currencies. Together, these features provide users with the ease of use of traditional finance combined with the financial flexibility of cryptocurrencies. 

Bybit Pay has developed an impressive suite of ecosystem system products that reinforce its crypto payment advantages. These include:

Bybit Pay also provides tailored solutions for businesses to streamline crypto adoption. Its merchant acquiring system offers e-commerce platforms and other businesses low-fee cryptocurrency payment processing, and enables real-time settlements in both crypto and fiat currencies. 

For developers, the API Open Platform provides a flexible tool kit that allows them to embed Bybit Pay’s infrastructure into apps, websites or custom platforms. 

Together, these tools make it easy for businesses of all sizes to tap into the global crypto user base without overhauling their existing systems.

Bybit Pay also goes beyond payments to help users grow their assets, acting as a one-stop investment center that merges spending flexibility with earning potential. Bybit Pay lets users deposit idle funds into flexible savings products to generate yield. Yields vary depending upon demand, but as of March 2025, USDT deposited for a flexible term could generate a 6.45% yield on the 

. This dual functionality ensures liquidity for daily transactions while maximizing returns. 

To further incentivize engagement, the platform also offers exclusive discounts and cashback rewards on purchases, creating a loyalty loop that benefits frequent users. High–net worth individuals gain further advantages through 

. This includes elevated cashback rates, priority access to new features and tailored discounts on premium products. 

These layered incentives not only enhance user retention, but also position Bybit Pay as a complete financial ecosystem in which spending and wealth-building can seamlessly coexist.

In late January 2025, Bybit announced the 

. This service offers a cutting-edge payment solution and integrates seamlessly with Pix, Brazil’s leading payment system. 

To celebrate this launch, Bybit Pay is hosting a 

 from Feb 28–Mar 31, 2025, blending Brazil’s festive spirit with crypto incentives. Every time a user spends 50 USDT or 250 BRL via Bybit Pay, they earn entry into a prize pool featuring luxury gadgets like an iPhone 16 Pro or PlayStation 5, or thousands of USDT 

. The more you spend, the higher your chances of winning.

Bybit Pay has the potential to make cryptocurrency payments as simple as traditional fiat payments. By merging web3 flexibility with traditional payment infrastructure, it empowers merchants and users to transact globally without sacrificing familiarity or liquidity. Its recent expansions — such as its Brazil launch and Carnival-themed incentives — reward participation while demonstrating how easily the platform integrates into daily life. 

Users can take advantage of current initiatives by registering for the 

 event. Merchants who want to integrate Bybit Pay and benefit from its vast customer base can use the 

bybit pay.png

Bybit Pay: Bridging the gap between traditional finance and the crypto world

Strategies

Trading

A bear trap in crypto trading is similar to a short squeeze. That's when short sellers push the market down only to be greeted with a rising trend. Learn how to avoid them!

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You may have come across the nursery rhyme: “We’re going on a bear hunt. We’re going to catch a big one. What a beautiful day! We’re not scared.”

In the financial markets, “trading a bear trap” is also an attempt to catch a big one. Maybe a bull market suddenly pauses, and markets that were rising begin to reverse. Thinking you’re going to profit handsomely, you sell your crypto, possibly even through short selling in the futures market. Suddenly prices rip higher against you. Better call for help — because you’ve just fallen into a bear trap.

This article will explain bear traps, what they look like specifically in crypto trading and how to avoid them. 

A bear trap is a technical pattern that occurs when a new bearish trend in a stock or cryptocurrency price appears, often with short sellers pushing the market down, only to have a reversal and bounce to a rising price trend.

A short squeeze is similar to a bear trap, although the effect of a short squeeze tends to be more intense in which the prices can be pushed up very quickly in a very short amount of time.

Bear traps can lure traders, especially amateur and novice investors, into a false panic. This may cause them to sell in anticipation of a continuing bearish (downward trending) market. The bear market may not even end up happening, and instead, the market reverses again and heads upward, thus trapping sellers in their short positions. In such a case, you’ll have to exit before this upward bounce moves past the point at which you sold — or possibly risk losing your funds.

Unlike a bull trap, a bear trap is particularly devastating for anyone who has a short position. To review, a short position 

 a stock, sell it, then buy it back later (hopefully at a lower price), thus capitalizing on a downward market trend. You can typically sell short by using futures on major coins in the cryptocurrency market. 

 markets, institutions often buy stock in larger volumes on dips, initiating the bear trap price reversal. Besides, they may have initially kicked off the bear trap by short selling at higher levels and then buying back the stock lower. In other words, they pushed the market down as short-sellers. Because their trades occur in larger volumes, these flows have the potential to move the market against retail or amateur investors. 

The question is whether this type of bear trap or even 

 applies in the crypto market. Unfortunately, in unregulated crypto markets, whales can coordinate far easier than traditional regulated institutions. Manipulating markets is also easier because of the lack of liquidity (fewer buyers and sellers deep in the order book).

You only have to watch crypto markets for a few hours to realize that market volatility within cryptocurrency markets is generally far higher than in stock markets. Given the massive swings in crypto, shorting can be very risky.  Getting caught in a bear trap can be very painful.

As opposed to bull traps, bear traps may be set by short sellers or larger players seeking to weed out smaller players. Initiating a bear trap can be as simple as a case of institutions selling or short selling their stocks to amateur investors. This offloading causes a 

, which causes less experienced investors to panic and sell.

When prices fall below a certain point, institutions can buy back their shares and send prices higher once again. At this point, the rest of the market starts buying again for fear of missing out (FOMO), catapulting the price higher once again. 

In a simpler explanation, institutions push prices lower to make the markets appear to be bearish to increase the demand. When the market appears to be bearish, investors gradually buy the asset at a lower price and wait for the asset’s price to bounce to a higher price.

The bull and bear trap is inevitable and it can be tricky to identify when you are trading, but it’s not impossible to identify with technical analysis. Here are some of the technical indicators to help you spot some of these symptoms and to reduce your risks of exposure.

Looking at the trading volume can help you identify a potential bear trap. 

Usually, when the market moves forcefully higher or lower, you might notice high volumes of trading accompanying this movement. 

The reason is simple: whether the market is moving strongly upward or downward, traders are either trying to capitalize on opportunities or cover their losses.

volume of trading indicates a potential bear trap. This could mean that a low number of investors (probably an institution) has sold and caused the price to drop.

Fibonacci retracement levels are horizontal lines that indicate where prices can be expected to meet with support or resistance level.

If the price of a stock (or that of a coin in the crypto market) is dropping, but it doesn’t break the Fibonacci levels, you can assume the drop is at least questionable and might not continue. 

is a momentum oscillator to track the speed and change of price movements. An RSI below 25 usually indicates oversold conditions that are ready for a move upward, and an RSI > 75 indicates overbought conditions that are ready for a move downward.

Another tool in bear trap prevention, the relative strength index helps to predict price reversals.

The red trend lines at the bottom of the example show two oscillators, the 

 and RSI. Both of them are trending noticeably upward before the sharp price break.

Bear traps can be a bit harder to spot in the crypto chart patterns than in the stock market. With no central governing body, institutions don’t have to disclose any of their trading information. Therefore, you can only track the market closely to identify where a bear trap may have occurred. 

Take a look at the Bitcoin price chart below. In it, you can see an example of a bear trap prominently at the end, demarcated by lines downward and then the reversal upward. 

The markings show a TD sequential indicator (

 Thomas DeMark, sometimes called a DeMarker or DeMark indicator, or DeM) signaling tops and bottoms. They also show the beginnings of several bear traps. 

In early 2021, the price of Bitcoin was continuing its steady rise. Then prices plunged by nearly $11,000 

. As the chart shows, the trend quickly reversed. Toward the end of February and into early March, the price again rose, nearly $10,000 in a matter of days. These bear traps were set several times before the market hit an all-time high of 

. If you were caught up in the bear traps, fearing a market correction, you might have sold BTC to prevent loss. Those coins then would have tripled in value over the next three months. 

Whales have been using these bear traps to first shake out the weak hands and secondly, to set the stage for the next bullish run. Prices in any market don’t move in a straight line, but there is a natural ebb and flow to the price movement. In an uptrend, retracements tend to be fast-paced and it’s not easy to identify them because they can be mistaken for a reversal.

Bear traps can happen across any time frame, even intraday. They can look like a short squeeze, where there is initially a sharp drop, potentially from selling pressure, followed by a trend reversal. Bear traps are the opposite of bull traps, which occur when a seemingly upward trend resumes its previous downturn. 

Bear traps often end with rallies in part because of a short squeeze, in which short-sellers are buying back, potentially because institutions are buying in larger sizes. Short-term traders capitalizing on the falling market have decided to take profit, and buyers also step in. 

This is compounded by more investors realizing that the uptrend is not just a 

 in price, which is usually brief. As more buyers pile in, the rally gains momentum.

In crypto, bear traps are a common pitfall. Consider your risks before making any trades, particularly before taking short positions. You can try to spot a bear trap and trade with the broader trend, taking profits before reversals. Timing is key.

Another strategy is to get out of bear traps as soon as you discover them. One way to do this is to place a stop-loss order that can trigger as soon as you see an upward reversal. When trading crypto, you need to be nimble in order to avoid getting caught on the wrong side of the trade.

Technical traders can avoid bear traps and can identify them in real-time by reading the price action. Usually, technical indicators can’t guarantee that you’ll be able to avoid the bear trap. However, price action is a great tool to identify these patterns.

Most of the time the perfect bear trap is set up when there is a sudden and sharp price movement against the bullish trend. The inner workings of this price action behavior are easy to understand.

The sharp price movement to the downside produces the trap because it scares the traders. Usually, at this stage the price action deepens below a key level — support level, big round number, moving averages or other technical indicators.

But, the trap often leads to a sharp rally.

If you study the price action, the perfect bear trap will develop in two stages:

The risk of bear traps is that you sell too late and have to buy back at a higher price because of the short-term and ongoing rally that is likely to occur after the decline. If you short into a bear trap and don’t hedge your risk, you will have to cover your short when the price goes up and take your losses.

For example, you see a decline in the market so you take a short position at $50. If the shares go down to $40, you can cover your short and make $10; but if the market goes back up to $60 and is on an uptrend when you buy back your short you’ll lose $20.

First of all, you can try to spot a bear trap using the volume or technical indicators described. The simplest way to avoid the most painful bear trap is to avoid shorting, which can cause large losses when the market moves higher. 

If you do trade a short position, set a stop loss and also understand your risk. Determine how much of your portfolio you can risk based on your tolerance, and size your position accordingly.

In illiquid markets where not as many players are involved, bear traps occur more often. Avoiding illiquid markets is one way to avoid bear traps.

Risk management in general is the best way to manage any trades. Even seasoned investors don’t win every time. Don’t risk more than you’re willing to lose, and be methodical about cutting losses when you’re wrong.

Trading is inherently risky, particularly in crypto. You might fall prey to a bear trap at some point. The trick is to learn from the experience, minimize losses, and get back on track. If you’re going on a bear hunt you might get caught off guard, but try to react quickly to avoid getting stuck.

How To Avoid a Bear Trap When Trading Crypto

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