Gold is projected to surpass $3,000 per ounce in 2025, driven by strong macroeconomic and geopolitical factors.

At the heart of gold's potential surge is the current macroeconomic landscape that’s characterized by persistent inflation and anticipated monetary policy shifts. Inflation rates in the U.S. are expected to remain above the Federal Reserve's target of 2%, creating an environment in which gold is expected to serve as a crucial hedge against currency devaluation. When inflation erodes purchasing power, investors often turn to gold to preserve their wealth.

Moreover, the Federal Reserve has signaled a shift toward monetary easing, with market expectations indicating potential interest rate cuts in the coming months. Lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding gold, making it a more attractive investment as compared to interest-bearing assets, such as bonds and savings accounts. With real interest rates projected to remain low or even go negative, gold could experience renewed demand as a safe store of value.

Geopolitical tensions further bolster gold’s appeal. Ongoing conflicts, particularly the strained U.S.-China relationship and the Russia-Ukraine war, create an atmosphere of uncertainty that drives investors toward safe-haven assets. During times of geopolitical instability, gold has historically seen increased demand as investors seek to mitigate risks associated with market volatility.

As global tensions escalate, the demand for gold is likely to rise, reinforcing its status as a reliable hedge against financial instability. Investors tend to flock to gold during crises, viewing it as a secure asset that retains its intrinsic value, especially when other markets are under pressure.

Another significant factor contributing to the bullish outlook for gold is the unprecedented demand from central banks around the world. In 2024, central banks collectively purchased over 1,000 metric tons of gold, marking one of the highest levels of accumulation in recent history. This trend is expected to continue into 2025, particularly among countries like China and Russia that are actively reducing their reliance on U.S. dollar reserves as part of a broader de-dollarization strategy.

This central bank buying provides a strong structural support for gold prices, minimizing downside risks. As these institutions accumulate more gold, the resulting scarcity in the market could lead to higher prices. The growing demand from central banks underscores the renewed confidence in gold as a strategic reserve asset, especially amidst economic volatility and geopolitical tensions.

From a technical perspective, gold is currently in a robust uptrend, trading above key moving averages and nearing critical resistance levels. If gold successfully breaks through the psychological barrier of $3,000 per ounce, momentum could carry it toward higher price targets, potentially reaching $3,200 or even $3,500. 

, such as relative strength index (RSI) and moving average convergence divergence (MACD), suggest that gold remains in a bullish phase, indicating further upside potential.

As gold approaches these key resistance points, technical traders will closely monitor its price movements. A successful breach of the $3,000 level could trigger momentum buying, propelling prices higher as investor confidence grows.

Finally, rising investor sentiment plays a crucial role in gold’s potential price surge. Increased inflows into gold-backed 

 (ETFs), in addition to speculative positioning in futures markets, reflect strong confidence among both retail and institutional investors. As ETF holdings rise, it signals renewed interest in gold as a safe-haven investment.

This optimism is bolstered by a general shift in market sentiment as investors are increasingly turning to gold amid concerns over economic stability and inflation. The combination of robust technical indicators, macroeconomic pressures and favorable investor sentiment positions gold favorably for a significant price increase in 2025.

In summary, gold is well-positioned to reach $3,000 per ounce in 2025, driven by a combination of persistent inflation, geopolitical uncertainty, strong central bank demand and positive technical indicators. As investors seek refuge in safe-haven assets, gold’s intrinsic value and historical performance during times of crisis will make it an attractive option for preserving wealth. The confluence of these factors suggests that gold's upward trajectory could continue, making 2025 a pivotal year for this precious metal.

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Bybit Commodity Insight Report: Why Gold Is Poised to Reach $3,000 in 2025

Our weekly crypto derivatives analytics report delves into macro events, the current state of crypto and trading signals from spot trading volume, as well as futures, options and perpetual contracts.

Macro headwinds are impacting the crypto market, with a sell-off that began over the weekend deepening this week. BTC, ETH and most altcoins are declining alongside equities, gold and treasury yields, though derivatives markets are showing little bearish sentiment or increased volatility expectations. Among perpetuals, there are record consistent positive rates across most markets, indicating a reset in positioning. Meanwhile, ETH retains a volatility premium over BTC, but its term structure hasn’t inverted as sharply as in earlier sell-offs this month.

Please check out the report’s highlights.

Funding Rates Largely Positive Amid Sell-Off

Despite risk-off sentiment across asset classes this weekend and early this past week, USDT-denominated perpetual contracts have shown their most consistently positive funding rates within the past month. While these rates haven't reached the bullish levels of early December 2024, most have returned to a neutral level of 0.01%, signaling a reset in positioning due to recent market movements.

Tuesday's intensified risk-off sell-off led to a significant spike in BTC put trade volume as traders hedged against further declines. Unlike ETH, which leans bullish on calls, BTC's open interest is balanced between upside and downside protection. The volatility term structure is flat again, typical during sharp market moves, but this reflects a decline in longer-dated options, rather than a rise in short-term expectations.

As the sell-off in risk-on assets deepened this past week, ETH outperformed BTC. ETH derivatives markets are showing stronger sentiment, with higher call trade volumes indicating greater demand for upside positioning as compared to puts. However, ETH's volatility term structure has inverted more sharply than BTC's, as seen in previous significant market moves since last November (2024), with front-end volatility levels 15 points above those of BTC options with a similar tenor.

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Bybit X Block Scholes Crypto Derivatives Analytics Report (Feb 26, 2025): Reset in Sentiment Brewing as Fund Rates Turn Positive

Explore four essential tips to help you accumulate more points, optimize your strategy and claim the best rewards in EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge.

With the rise of gamified crypto events, EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge stands out as one of the most exciting opportunities for users to earn rewards while engaging with both Bybit and Mantle Network. This limited-time event offers participants a shot at a 1,000,000 MNT prize pool when they complete on-chain and trading-related tasks. 

To help you maximize your rewards and ensure you get the most out of this event, in this guide we’ll break down four essential tips to help you accumulate more points, optimize your strategy and claim the best rewards in EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge.

EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge is a limited-time campaign that rewards participants with a share of a 1,000,000 MNT prize pool when they complete both Bybit and on-chain tasks. Players earn "wishes" that can be used to enter Lucky Draws or climb the leaderboard for greater rewards.

This campaign, hosted by Bybit in collaboration with Mantle, blends gamification with 

 engagement, offering users multiple ways to win. Participants can choose to rely on chance via the Lucky Draw or strategically allocate their wishes to compete on the leaderboard. The event runs from Mar 6, 2025 to Mar 27, 2025, making it a limited-time opportunity to accumulate rewards while exploring the Mantle ecosystem.

4 Tips to Maximize Your Wishes and Rewards in EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge

To make the most out of EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge, you need to strategize your wish allocation, complete as many tasks as possible and take advantage of all available earning mechanisms. Here are four essential tips to maximize your rewards:

One of the best ways to earn high-value rewards in EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge is by competing on the leaderboard. There are a total of five rounds, and the rewards are higher with each passing round. 

The more wishes you allocate toward leaderboard rankings, the higher your position and the larger your rewards. However, since the leaderboard is dynamic, your rank can change based on the activity of other participants.

Since leaderboard positions fluctuate, it’s recommended that you monitor your ranking regularly and adjust your strategy accordingly. Players who accumulate the most wishes by the end of each leaderboard round will receive the greatest rewards.

 that each round’s rewards and wishes are calculated independently, and any wishes spent in a round won’t carry over to the next round.

If you prefer an element of surprise, the Lucky Draw is your best bet. By spending wishes on Lucky Draw attempts, you earn the chance to win instant prizes. The Lucky Draw operates on a first-come, first-served basis, so the earlier you participate, the better your chances of securing top-tier rewards.

Since rewards are limited, it's advisable to use your wishes early before the top prizes run out.

An easy way to earn free points in this campaign is by holding Mantle (MNT) and/or Mantle Restaked ETH (cmETH) in your Bybit account. By simply keeping these assets in your wallet, you’ll receive additional wishes, increasing your chances of winning more rewards.

This passive method of earning wishes ensures that you accumulate extra points without actively completing tasks, making it one of the simplest ways to boost your rewards.

Another hidden gem for doubling your rewards in EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge is through Layer 3. Participants who complete specific Layer 3 quests will receive extra bonuses, including double rewards on certain tasks.

By leveraging Layer 3 bonuses, you can significantly boost your total wish count, increasing your chances of securing leaderboard positions or hitting big wins in the Lucky Draw.

If you’re looking for a fun and rewarding way to engage with the Mantle ecosystem, EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge is definitely an event worth joining. With 1,000,000 MNT up for grabs, both casual users and seasoned traders can benefit from this campaign.

The event's dual-reward system allows participants to tailor their strategy based on their preferences. Whether you enjoy the thrill of luck-based rewards or prefer the competitive edge of leaderboard climbing, this campaign offers something for everyone.

Additionally, holding MNT and cmETH provides passive earnings, while Layer 3 integration presents an opportunity for double rewards — making the experience even more lucrative for active participants.

EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge is a limited-time, gamified rewards campaign that blends trading, staking and on-chain interactions. By completing tasks, holding Mantle assets and strategically using your wishes, you can maximize your rewards and secure your share of the 1,000,000 MNT prize pool.

This event runs from Mar 6, 2025 to 27, 2025, so now is the best time to get started. Are you ready to explore the Mantle ecosystem and claim your rewards? Join EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge today!

Beginner

how to participate in ecogalaxy mantle surge

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Join Bybit’s AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle, vote for top AI projects and compete for a share of a $1M prize pool. Earn rewards while shaping the future of AI in crypto.

The Bybit AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle is an exciting and innovative trading and voting event that aims to identify and support high-potential AI projects within the cryptocurrency space.

As artificial intelligence (AI) continues to revolutionize blockchain technology, this competition offers users a unique opportunity to engage with emerging AI-driven crypto projects while earning substantial rewards of up to $1 million.

 (AI) and cryptocurrency is reshaping blockchain and 

 — autonomous programs powered by machine learning — are revolutionizing the sector by automating trading strategies, optimizing portfolio management and executing on-chain decisions with minimal human input.

These intelligent agents analyze vast datasets, identify market trends and execute trades in real time, significantly enhancing efficiency and reducing risks in the volatile crypto market. Their role extends beyond trading, influencing DeFi protocols, NFT markets and blockchain governance.

Bybit is at the forefront of this AI-driven transformation, launching the 

 to spotlight high-potential AI projects. This event provides a launchpad for groundbreaking AI applications, connecting innovators with a global crypto audience.

What Is the Bybit AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle?

Bybit is launching a unique AI trading event designed to highlight the most promising AI-driven crypto projects.

AI is revolutionizing crypto markets, with automated trading bots now executing over 60% of all crypto transactions. The integration of AI and blockchain is unlocking new trading strategies, DeFi innovations and web3 applications, making the AI sector one of the most promising in crypto.

Bybit’s AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle bridges AI and blockchain, providing a global stage for emerging projects to gain exposure to a global audience. Participants play an active role in shaping the future of AI in crypto while earning rewards.

How to Participate in the AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle

Campaign Period: Feb 28, 2025, 10AM UTC – Mar 27, 2025, 10AM UTC

Bybit users can support AI projects and earn rewards by participating in this AI-powered trading competition. Here's a step-by-step guide to joining:

Projects earn voting points from the following ways:

By actively trading and voting, participants not only have a chance to earn from the $1 million prize pool, but will also play a crucial role in shaping the future of AI in the crypto industry.

Bybit's AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle offers an exciting $1 million prize pool, with multiple ways for participants to win rewards.

The breakdown of how votes are allocated for Bybit Spot is as follows:

The breakdown of how votes are allocated for Bybit Web3 is as follows:

The maximum number of daily votes that a user can receive is 100,400 (50,200 for Bybit Spot and Web3 respectively).

By trading, voting and engaging in the competition, participants not only support innovative AI projects but also receive a chance to maximize their earnings in this high-stakes trading battle.

Bybit's AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle offers a distinctive platform that connects cryptocurrency traders with AI innovators. Participants are invited to support leading AI projects, earn attractive rewards and contribute to shaping the future of AI within the crypto ecosystem. 

 and be part of the AI-driven revolution on Bybit!

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How to Participate in Bybit’s AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle

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Explainers

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index provides insights into market sentiment. It helps assess traders' emotions on an asset to help you decide on market entries and exits critically. But is it reliable? Read on to find out.

When it comes to investing, emotions often play a significant role, driving market trends and influencing investment decisions. Enter the Crypto Fear and Greed Index, a powerful tool that helps investors navigate the rollercoaster of emotions in the 

 market. By providing real-time insights into 

, this index empowers you to make informed decisions and optimize your investment strategy.

Understanding Market Sentiment: Fear and Greed

Market sentiment is a key factor in determining asset prices and is primarily driven by two emotions: fear and greed. Fear can lead to selling and short-selling, causing prices to decline, while greed fuels asset accumulation and 

 (fear of missing out), driving prices upward. Understanding market sentiment and stock market movements is pivotal for pinpointing investment opportunities and, more importantly, controlling your own emotions during investment.

The Fear and Greed Index, created by CNN Business, is a tool that quantifies stock market fluctuations and evaluates the appropriate pricing of stocks. It utilizes a composite of seven distinct indicators to gauge the level of fear and greed in the market, which can be referred to as the cnn business fear. These indicators include:

By analyzing these indicators, the Fear and Greed Index provides valuable insights into market sentiment.

In a fear-driven market, prices tend to decline as investors dispose of their assets to avoid potential losses. 

, a trading technique wherein traders sell assets they do not possess with the expectation of repurchasing them at a lower price, is typically associated with fear-driven markets. Such market behavior can sometimes lead to bitcoin price manipulation and further contribute to the downward trend.

Fear can have a significant impact on individual investment decision-making, causing reluctance to invest and prompting premature sales of fundamentally sound investments. Comprehending fear-driven market behavior and its possible impacts on investment results is key to steering through the volatile crypto market.

The Role of Greed in Investment Decisions

Greed, on the other hand, is the emotive response that occurs when traders are confident about the market, prompting riskier investments and longer asset retention. FOMO, or the fear of missing out, is a sentiment often present in greed-driven markets, leading investors to:

Greed-driven behavior can manifest in various ways, such as impulsive decision-making, excessive risk-taking, and a focus on short-term gains over long-term investment strategies. Identifying greedy market behavior is key to spotting potential overvaluations and inflated asset prices, which enables better investment decisions.

The Fear and Greed Index was initially launched by CNNMoney in 2012 as a measure of investor sentiment in the stock market. The index evaluates seven distinct indicators to provide a comprehensive view of market sentiment:

The index, with the greed index calculated on a daily, weekly, monthly, and yearly basis, weighs each indicator equally to determine a score between 0 and 100, with 100 representing maximum greediness and 0 signaling maximum fear. By assessing the deviation of each indicator from its average versus the typical divergence, the Fear and Greed Index helps investors understand whether stocks are trading higher than their estimated value due to greed or lower than their estimated value due to fear.

Crypto Fear and Greed Index: A Tailored Approach

While the Fear and Greed Index provides valuable insights into the stock market, it doesn’t specifically focus on the cryptocurrency market. To address this gap, Alternative.me developed the Crypto Fear and Greed Index, a tailored tool designed to gauge emotions affecting the cryptocurrency market. The index employs a scale of 0 to 100, with 0 indicating extreme fear and 100 indicating extreme greed.

The Crypto Fear and Greed Index distinguishes itself from traditional fear and greed indices by focusing on the unique characteristics of the cryptocurrency market, which often consists of retail traders without a professional background in finance. This index, by offering real-time insights into market sentiment, aids investors in making better decisions and refining their investment strategy in the cryptocurrency market.

Theoretically, you can design your own Fear and Greed Index. The prerequisite is that your data is both correct and correctly used. For example, a certain basic knowledge of market events and reactions is necessary in order to realistically assess the effects of certain events. The weighting of individual factors also plays an important role in your analysis.

Different zones on the index chart and slider have different meanings.

This is how the Crypto Fear and Greed Index is measured:

Calculating the Crypto Fear and Greed Index

The Crypto Fear and Greed Index uses a variety of weighted data sources to calculate its score, including:

The primary indicators employed in the calculation are volatility, market momentum/volume, social media, dominance, and trends.

Each indicator receives an equal-weighted percentage in the computation, and the index is calculated on a daily, weekly, monthly, and yearly basis. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index provides investors with a clear understanding of the prevailing market state of fear or greed by assessing these metrics in real-time and comparing them to historical averages.

Interpreting the Crypto Fear and Greed Index

The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is a valuable tool for investors who want to make better decisions by understanding market sentiment and trends. Interpreting the index allows investors to identify market behaviors driven by fear and greed, thus providing useful insights for making better decisions.

The index displays a numeric value along with the accompanying interpretation, ranging from extreme fear to extreme greed. By observing these values and their trends over time, investors can make more informed decisions about when to enter or exit the market, optimizing their investment strategy.

Fear-driven markets can be detected by tracking market sentiment using the Crypto Fear and Greed Index, anticipating downward trends in the market. Volatility, market momentum/volume, and a prevailing sentiment of fear among market participants are all indicative of a fear-driven market in cryptocurrency trading.

When the index displays higher levels of fear, it indicates a bearish sentiment among investors, which may result in a downward trend in prices. Comprehending fear-driven market behavior and its potential impacts on investment outcomes is key for steering through the volatile crypto market and making better decisions.

Greedy stock market behavior can be identified by observing the following:

When the index indicates extreme greed, there are potential risks that could be encountered, such as:

Recognizing greedy market behavior can help investors make more informed decisions and optimize their investment strategy.

Strategies for Managing Emotions in Investing

Controlling emotions in investing involves utilizing tools such as the Crypto Fear and Greed Index and formulating strategies to maintain a balanced approach. By comprehending market sentiment, distinguishing fear-induced and avaricious markets, and executing tactics such as diversification and asset allocation, investors can make more educated and unbiased decisions.

Establishing realistic expectations, diversifying investments, and implementing 

 orders are some strategies that can help investors manage their emotions and make more informed decisions. By understanding and avoiding emotional biases, investors can focus on long-term goals and avoid short-term emotional reactions.

Integrating the Crypto Fear and Greed Index into Your Investment Strategy

Incorporating the Crypto Fear and Greed Index into your investment strategy can help you make better decisions by understanding market sentiment and trends. When the index reveals extreme fear, it could be a buying opportunity as investors may be excessively anxious. Conversely, extreme greed may signify that the market is due for a correction.

Investors can make better decisions and fine-tune their investment strategy by using the Crypto Fear and Greed Index alongside other market indicators. However, it’s vital to always conduct personal research and consider various data sources before making any significant decisions.

Real-World Examples: Crypto Fear and Greed Index in Action

Real-world examples demonstrate the effectiveness of the Crypto Fear and Greed Index in predicting market behavior and guiding investment decisions. For instance, there have been occurrences where the index changed from extreme trepidation to avarice, pointing to a potential upturn in prices. This alteration in sentiment has commonly been followed by a noteworthy rise in the market value of cryptocurrencies.

While the Crypto Fear and Greed Index provides useful insights into investor emotions, it’s important to remember that it doesn’t predict future price movements. The index is beneficial for discerning market sentiment and emotion, yet it should not be entirely depended upon for making investment decisions.

Future improvements to the Crypto Fear and Greed Index could incorporate AI analytics, distinguishing between institutional and retail investors, and monitoring decentralized vs. centralized exchange usage. AI analytics could improve the precision of the Crypto Fear and Greed Index by evaluating market sentiment indicators in real-time, providing a more precise representation of market sentiment.

Tracking decentralized versus centralized exchange usage can provide valuable insights into the sentiment and behavior of cryptocurrency traders, which can in turn enhance the Crypto Fear and Greed Index. As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve and grow, so too will the tools available to help investors navigate its complexities.

In conclusion, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index is a powerful tool that helps investors navigate the emotional landscape of the cryptocurrency market. By understanding market sentiment, recognizing fear-driven and greedy market behaviors, and employing strategies to manage emotions, investors can make more informed decisions and optimize their investment strategy. As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index will undoubtedly remain an invaluable resource for investors seeking to understand and capitalize on market trends. #Bybit #CryptoArk

The Fear and Greed Index is a 100-point scale that provides insights into whether fear or greed is dominating the financial markets at a given time. It is calculated by compiling seven different indicators that measure various aspects of stock market behavior. The index value is an equal-weighted average of these indicators.

What is the difference between fear and greed index and the S&P 500?

The Fear and Greed Index is a market sentiment indicator that measures investor emotions by comparing the S&P 500 to its rolling average over the past 125 days. When the index is above this average, it shows investors are getting optimistic (greed) while when it's below, it shows they are becoming anxious (fear).

The Fear and Greed Index is an index of seven different indicators that measure investor sentiment on the stock market. This matrix includes factors such as market momentum, stock price strength, options activity, junk bond demand, volatility and safe haven demand, which are all scored from 0 to 100 and equally weighed to generate the index value. It is seen more as a market-timing tool than an investment research tool.

The Crypto Fear and Greed Index, developed by Alternative.me, measures the sentiment of the cryptocurrency market to offer insight into buying and selling opportunities.

What strategies can be utilized to manage emotions in investing?

Strategies for managing emotions in investing include establishing realistic expectations, diversifying investments, and implementing stop-loss orders to limit losses.

Unveiling the Crypto Fear and Greed Index: A Powerful Tool for Investors

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