Gold is projected to surpass $3,000 per ounce in 2025, driven by strong macroeconomic and geopolitical factors.

At the heart of gold's potential surge is the current macroeconomic landscape that’s characterized by persistent inflation and anticipated monetary policy shifts. Inflation rates in the U.S. are expected to remain above the Federal Reserve's target of 2%, creating an environment in which gold is expected to serve as a crucial hedge against currency devaluation. When inflation erodes purchasing power, investors often turn to gold to preserve their wealth.

Moreover, the Federal Reserve has signaled a shift toward monetary easing, with market expectations indicating potential interest rate cuts in the coming months. Lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding gold, making it a more attractive investment as compared to interest-bearing assets, such as bonds and savings accounts. With real interest rates projected to remain low or even go negative, gold could experience renewed demand as a safe store of value.

Geopolitical tensions further bolster gold’s appeal. Ongoing conflicts, particularly the strained U.S.-China relationship and the Russia-Ukraine war, create an atmosphere of uncertainty that drives investors toward safe-haven assets. During times of geopolitical instability, gold has historically seen increased demand as investors seek to mitigate risks associated with market volatility.

As global tensions escalate, the demand for gold is likely to rise, reinforcing its status as a reliable hedge against financial instability. Investors tend to flock to gold during crises, viewing it as a secure asset that retains its intrinsic value, especially when other markets are under pressure.

Another significant factor contributing to the bullish outlook for gold is the unprecedented demand from central banks around the world. In 2024, central banks collectively purchased over 1,000 metric tons of gold, marking one of the highest levels of accumulation in recent history. This trend is expected to continue into 2025, particularly among countries like China and Russia that are actively reducing their reliance on U.S. dollar reserves as part of a broader de-dollarization strategy.

This central bank buying provides a strong structural support for gold prices, minimizing downside risks. As these institutions accumulate more gold, the resulting scarcity in the market could lead to higher prices. The growing demand from central banks underscores the renewed confidence in gold as a strategic reserve asset, especially amidst economic volatility and geopolitical tensions.

From a technical perspective, gold is currently in a robust uptrend, trading above key moving averages and nearing critical resistance levels. If gold successfully breaks through the psychological barrier of $3,000 per ounce, momentum could carry it toward higher price targets, potentially reaching $3,200 or even $3,500. 

, such as relative strength index (RSI) and moving average convergence divergence (MACD), suggest that gold remains in a bullish phase, indicating further upside potential.

As gold approaches these key resistance points, technical traders will closely monitor its price movements. A successful breach of the $3,000 level could trigger momentum buying, propelling prices higher as investor confidence grows.

Finally, rising investor sentiment plays a crucial role in gold’s potential price surge. Increased inflows into gold-backed 

 (ETFs), in addition to speculative positioning in futures markets, reflect strong confidence among both retail and institutional investors. As ETF holdings rise, it signals renewed interest in gold as a safe-haven investment.

This optimism is bolstered by a general shift in market sentiment as investors are increasingly turning to gold amid concerns over economic stability and inflation. The combination of robust technical indicators, macroeconomic pressures and favorable investor sentiment positions gold favorably for a significant price increase in 2025.

In summary, gold is well-positioned to reach $3,000 per ounce in 2025, driven by a combination of persistent inflation, geopolitical uncertainty, strong central bank demand and positive technical indicators. As investors seek refuge in safe-haven assets, gold’s intrinsic value and historical performance during times of crisis will make it an attractive option for preserving wealth. The confluence of these factors suggests that gold's upward trajectory could continue, making 2025 a pivotal year for this precious metal.

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Bybit Commodity Insight Report: Why Gold Is Poised to Reach $3,000 in 2025

Our weekly crypto derivatives analytics report delves into macro events, the current state of crypto and trading signals from spot trading volume, as well as futures, options and perpetual contracts.

Macro headwinds are impacting the crypto market, with a sell-off that began over the weekend deepening this week. BTC, ETH and most altcoins are declining alongside equities, gold and treasury yields, though derivatives markets are showing little bearish sentiment or increased volatility expectations. Among perpetuals, there are record consistent positive rates across most markets, indicating a reset in positioning. Meanwhile, ETH retains a volatility premium over BTC, but its term structure hasn’t inverted as sharply as in earlier sell-offs this month.

Please check out the report’s highlights.

Funding Rates Largely Positive Amid Sell-Off

Despite risk-off sentiment across asset classes this weekend and early this past week, USDT-denominated perpetual contracts have shown their most consistently positive funding rates within the past month. While these rates haven't reached the bullish levels of early December 2024, most have returned to a neutral level of 0.01%, signaling a reset in positioning due to recent market movements.

Tuesday's intensified risk-off sell-off led to a significant spike in BTC put trade volume as traders hedged against further declines. Unlike ETH, which leans bullish on calls, BTC's open interest is balanced between upside and downside protection. The volatility term structure is flat again, typical during sharp market moves, but this reflects a decline in longer-dated options, rather than a rise in short-term expectations.

As the sell-off in risk-on assets deepened this past week, ETH outperformed BTC. ETH derivatives markets are showing stronger sentiment, with higher call trade volumes indicating greater demand for upside positioning as compared to puts. However, ETH's volatility term structure has inverted more sharply than BTC's, as seen in previous significant market moves since last November (2024), with front-end volatility levels 15 points above those of BTC options with a similar tenor.

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Bybit X Block Scholes Crypto Derivatives Analytics Report (Feb 26, 2025): Reset in Sentiment Brewing as Fund Rates Turn Positive

Explore four essential tips to help you accumulate more points, optimize your strategy and claim the best rewards in EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge.

With the rise of gamified crypto events, EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge stands out as one of the most exciting opportunities for users to earn rewards while engaging with both Bybit and Mantle Network. This limited-time event offers participants a shot at a 1,000,000 MNT prize pool when they complete on-chain and trading-related tasks. 

To help you maximize your rewards and ensure you get the most out of this event, in this guide we’ll break down four essential tips to help you accumulate more points, optimize your strategy and claim the best rewards in EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge.

EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge is a limited-time campaign that rewards participants with a share of a 1,000,000 MNT prize pool when they complete both Bybit and on-chain tasks. Players earn "wishes" that can be used to enter Lucky Draws or climb the leaderboard for greater rewards.

This campaign, hosted by Bybit in collaboration with Mantle, blends gamification with 

 engagement, offering users multiple ways to win. Participants can choose to rely on chance via the Lucky Draw or strategically allocate their wishes to compete on the leaderboard. The event runs from Mar 6, 2025 to Mar 27, 2025, making it a limited-time opportunity to accumulate rewards while exploring the Mantle ecosystem.

4 Tips to Maximize Your Wishes and Rewards in EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge

To make the most out of EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge, you need to strategize your wish allocation, complete as many tasks as possible and take advantage of all available earning mechanisms. Here are four essential tips to maximize your rewards:

One of the best ways to earn high-value rewards in EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge is by competing on the leaderboard. There are a total of five rounds, and the rewards are higher with each passing round. 

The more wishes you allocate toward leaderboard rankings, the higher your position and the larger your rewards. However, since the leaderboard is dynamic, your rank can change based on the activity of other participants.

Since leaderboard positions fluctuate, it’s recommended that you monitor your ranking regularly and adjust your strategy accordingly. Players who accumulate the most wishes by the end of each leaderboard round will receive the greatest rewards.

 that each round’s rewards and wishes are calculated independently, and any wishes spent in a round won’t carry over to the next round.

If you prefer an element of surprise, the Lucky Draw is your best bet. By spending wishes on Lucky Draw attempts, you earn the chance to win instant prizes. The Lucky Draw operates on a first-come, first-served basis, so the earlier you participate, the better your chances of securing top-tier rewards.

Since rewards are limited, it's advisable to use your wishes early before the top prizes run out.

An easy way to earn free points in this campaign is by holding Mantle (MNT) and/or Mantle Restaked ETH (cmETH) in your Bybit account. By simply keeping these assets in your wallet, you’ll receive additional wishes, increasing your chances of winning more rewards.

This passive method of earning wishes ensures that you accumulate extra points without actively completing tasks, making it one of the simplest ways to boost your rewards.

Another hidden gem for doubling your rewards in EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge is through Layer 3. Participants who complete specific Layer 3 quests will receive extra bonuses, including double rewards on certain tasks.

By leveraging Layer 3 bonuses, you can significantly boost your total wish count, increasing your chances of securing leaderboard positions or hitting big wins in the Lucky Draw.

If you’re looking for a fun and rewarding way to engage with the Mantle ecosystem, EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge is definitely an event worth joining. With 1,000,000 MNT up for grabs, both casual users and seasoned traders can benefit from this campaign.

The event's dual-reward system allows participants to tailor their strategy based on their preferences. Whether you enjoy the thrill of luck-based rewards or prefer the competitive edge of leaderboard climbing, this campaign offers something for everyone.

Additionally, holding MNT and cmETH provides passive earnings, while Layer 3 integration presents an opportunity for double rewards — making the experience even more lucrative for active participants.

EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge is a limited-time, gamified rewards campaign that blends trading, staking and on-chain interactions. By completing tasks, holding Mantle assets and strategically using your wishes, you can maximize your rewards and secure your share of the 1,000,000 MNT prize pool.

This event runs from Mar 6, 2025 to 27, 2025, so now is the best time to get started. Are you ready to explore the Mantle ecosystem and claim your rewards? Join EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge today!

Beginner

how to participate in ecogalaxy mantle surge

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Join Bybit’s AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle, vote for top AI projects and compete for a share of a $1M prize pool. Earn rewards while shaping the future of AI in crypto.

The Bybit AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle is an exciting and innovative trading and voting event that aims to identify and support high-potential AI projects within the cryptocurrency space.

As artificial intelligence (AI) continues to revolutionize blockchain technology, this competition offers users a unique opportunity to engage with emerging AI-driven crypto projects while earning substantial rewards of up to $1 million.

 (AI) and cryptocurrency is reshaping blockchain and 

 — autonomous programs powered by machine learning — are revolutionizing the sector by automating trading strategies, optimizing portfolio management and executing on-chain decisions with minimal human input.

These intelligent agents analyze vast datasets, identify market trends and execute trades in real time, significantly enhancing efficiency and reducing risks in the volatile crypto market. Their role extends beyond trading, influencing DeFi protocols, NFT markets and blockchain governance.

Bybit is at the forefront of this AI-driven transformation, launching the 

 to spotlight high-potential AI projects. This event provides a launchpad for groundbreaking AI applications, connecting innovators with a global crypto audience.

What Is the Bybit AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle?

Bybit is launching a unique AI trading event designed to highlight the most promising AI-driven crypto projects.

AI is revolutionizing crypto markets, with automated trading bots now executing over 60% of all crypto transactions. The integration of AI and blockchain is unlocking new trading strategies, DeFi innovations and web3 applications, making the AI sector one of the most promising in crypto.

Bybit’s AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle bridges AI and blockchain, providing a global stage for emerging projects to gain exposure to a global audience. Participants play an active role in shaping the future of AI in crypto while earning rewards.

How to Participate in the AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle

Campaign Period: Feb 28, 2025, 10AM UTC – Mar 27, 2025, 10AM UTC

Bybit users can support AI projects and earn rewards by participating in this AI-powered trading competition. Here's a step-by-step guide to joining:

Projects earn voting points from the following ways:

By actively trading and voting, participants not only have a chance to earn from the $1 million prize pool, but will also play a crucial role in shaping the future of AI in the crypto industry.

Bybit's AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle offers an exciting $1 million prize pool, with multiple ways for participants to win rewards.

*Note that to win the prizes, there is a minimum number of voting points required. For example, to win the largest prize of $50,000, 600,000 voting points are required. Refer to the event page for more details. 

The breakdown of how votes are allocated for Bybit Spot is as follows:

The breakdown of how votes are allocated for Bybit Web3 is as follows:

The maximum number of daily votes that a user can receive is 100,400 (50,200 for Bybit Spot and Web3 respectively).

By trading, voting and engaging in the competition, participants not only support innovative AI projects but also receive a chance to maximize their earnings in this high-stakes trading battle.

Bybit's AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle offers a distinctive platform that connects cryptocurrency traders with AI innovators. Participants are invited to support leading AI projects, earn attractive rewards and contribute to shaping the future of AI within the crypto ecosystem. 

 and be part of the AI-driven revolution on Bybit!

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How to Participate in Bybit’s AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle

Bybit Learn

Trading

Position sizing is the process by which a trader defines contract size, trade size and other risk criteria prior to getting into the market. Learn more here.

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No matter what kind of trading you may dabble in, there will always be some sort of risk to it. This risk increases when you’re trading highly volatile assets such as crypto. As such, many traders tend to employ 

 to ensure that any losses remain low. One of the most common crypto risk management strategies is position sizing. Read on to find out more about what position sizing entails, and how you can use it to manage risk.

Position sizing is the process by which a trader defines contract size, trade size and other risk criteria prior to getting into the market.

Position sizing is essentially a trading strategy by which you define your entry price, exit price and overall risk prior to making a trade. For instance, you may decide that you’re only going to enter the market after it breaches the day’s high, the week’s low or some other objective level.

The next step in the position sizing process is to determine what size you want to put on a trade. If you have a smaller account, you'll likely want to trade a mini or micro lot as opposed to a standard lot. Furthermore, you'll likely want to trade a single lot at a time or use a tight 

 to better preserve your trading capital.

When done properly, position sizing can help to preserve your trading capital and ensure that you don't blow out your account after a single trade. There are many different types of position sizing strategies, such as fixed-dollar amount, percentage dollar amount and contract size value. You may also use mathematical formulas, such as the Kelly Criterion, to calculate position size or otherwise help you determine your optimal position.

Why Is Position Sizing Important for Crypto Traders?

Proper position sizing is important for crypto traders because crypto markets are some of the most volatile you'll encounter. It isn't uncommon for the price of Bitcoin to change by thousands of dollars in a single day. Therefore, it's important to have rules in place to ensure that your position size is in line with your account size, risk tolerance and trading goals.

You have almost no control over when or how fast the markets will move. Of course, market makers know this, and will use it to their advantage. It's not uncommon to see markets held in a tight trading range for several hours or days before a parabolic move to a new high or low.

It's also not uncommon to see markets trend in one direction for hours or days in a row before suddenly reversing to where a breakout started. The use of proper position sizing strategies can help you avoid the temptation to chase moves. Instead, you only enter or exit the market when it makes sense for you to do so, which can help to keep your trading account at a healthy level.

Even if you stick to proper position sizing best practices, there’s no guarantee that any single trade is going to be profitable. However, if you have a clearly defined plan, you can review it to see why a trade wasn't successful. For example, maybe you weren't using the correct position size, or went over your account risk limit because you made an error when calculating your position size.

Of course, it's also possible that you got out of the market too early (or stayed in too long) because you let emotion take over. Regardless of why a trade didn't work, the fact that you have objective and defined rules means that you’ll likely be able to determine what went wrong, and what you need to avoid in the future.

In addition, you’ll want to review your winning trades to determine if there was anything that you did wrong in regard to position sizing, or other aspects of your trade that you could execute better next time. For example, maybe you stayed in the market even after hitting your profit target because you were feeling good, and wanted to squeeze more out of the market. Although you may have been successful today, it's more important to develop good habits that will allow you to preserve and grow your trading capital and account over the long term.

While position sizing can be an effective way to minimize risk, it is not foolproof. For example, if market makers decide to gap the market before or during a 

, your stop-loss may be exceeded, which means that you would exceed your maximum risk on a trade.

You may also be triggered into a trade if a market maker widens its spread. In such a scenario, a limit order to buy might be initiated even if the market doesn't hit your preferred entry price.

Alternatively, a limit sell order might be initiated even if the market doesn't fall to your defined entry price. [A 

, in which you determine where you want to enter the market, is generally good until you cancel it or until the end of a trading day.]

Even if you trade your plan properly, there’s no guarantee that your trading strategy will work. However, you’re almost guaranteed to fail if you don't follow your position sizing rules, or don't follow them consistently. It's not uncommon for new traders to get into trouble if they try to trade when they're tired, angry or experiencing other negative emotions. It may also be more challenging to trade properly when you're stressed or otherwise unable to focus.

Position sizing techniques can help to ensure that every trade you make is a meaningful one. Let's take a closer look at how you can use position sizing as it relates to the size of your account, as well as to that of any trade you want to make.

Most professional traders limit their risk to no more than 1% of their overall account balance per trade. Therefore, if you have $1,000 in your account, you wouldn't want to risk more than $10 at any given time. Although it may be frustrating to have such a low maximum risk when you start out, your goal as a beginner isn't necessarily to make money. Instead, your goal is to get better at managing your emotions, learning from your mistakes and developing good position sizing habits in a relatively stress-free way.

Let's say that your maximum risk for a single trade is $10, and that each price interest point (

) is worth $1. In this scenario, you’d want to put a stop-loss order no more than 10 pips below your entry price if you’re looking to buy, and no more than 10 pips above your entry price if you’re looking to sell.

This position sizing method helps you determine how many lots you want to control in any given trade. Generally speaking, the number of lots that you purchase depends on your confidence in your trade. It also depends on the size of the lot that you’re purchasing. Typically, a micro lot allows you to control $1,000 of an underlying asset and a mini lot allows you to control $10,000 of an underlying asset, while a standard lot is $100,000 of an underlying asset.

The fixed dollar amount method is one of the easier position sizing techniques for new traders to understand and master. This is because you simply choose a dollar amount that you’re content with risking (and potentially losing) in a given trade. The amount that you’re willing to risk then determines your position size, stop-loss, and other trade entry and exit criteria. For example, if you wanted to risk $100 on a trade where each pip is worth $5, your maximum stop-loss would be 20 pips from your entry.

Ideally, your account risk limit and risk per trade will be roughly the same. This can help to preserve trade capital and ensure that you're being consistent with each trade you make. In most cases, this means that you won't risk more than 1% of your capital on any given trade. However, you can adjust your position sizing per trade (up or down) as you see fit.

Contract size value position sizing allows you to control your risk because smaller contracts have smaller pip values. For example, a micro lot can have a pip value of as little as 10 cents. This means that for every pip the market moves, you'll only risk a dime. A mini lot typically costs $1 per pip, while a standard lot typically comes with a risk of $10 per pip. Of course, you'll want to check with your broker regarding pip values before using contract size as a position-sizing tool.

The Kelly Criterion is a mathematical formula that uses past results in an effort to calculate the correct position size for future trades. 

The formula is as follows: Kelly % = W − [(1 − W) / R], where W equals your winning probability and R indicates your profit/loss ratio. 

The result of this optimal position calculation will be somewhere between 0 and 1, where 0 represents an optimal position of 0% and 1 equals an optimal position of 100%.

For instance, if you get a result of 0.05, then you’ll want to allocate 5% of your account toward your cryptocurrency of choice. Of course, never breach your account risk, trade risk or other position sizing rules simply because a calculator told you to.

Is Position Sizing an Effective Crypto Risk Management Strategy?

Position sizing is generally an effective crypto risk management strategy. When used properly, position sizing can provide you with an objective method of determining your entry and exit criteria, helping you to filter out the noise and avoid being manipulated by market makers. Having an objective trade plan also means that you're rarely risking more than you can afford to lose, based on your account size.

Position sizing should be considered an integral part of your overall trading strategy. When used consistently, position sizing may help to prevent catastrophic losses that might exceed your initial investment. It can also help you manage your emotions, which can be especially difficult for new traders.

What Is Position Sizing & How Do You Use It to Manage Risk?

Grab Up to 5,000 USDT in Rewards

Grab Up to 5,000 USDT in Rewards