Gold is projected to surpass $3,000 per ounce in 2025, driven by strong macroeconomic and geopolitical factors.

At the heart of gold's potential surge is the current macroeconomic landscape that’s characterized by persistent inflation and anticipated monetary policy shifts. Inflation rates in the U.S. are expected to remain above the Federal Reserve's target of 2%, creating an environment in which gold is expected to serve as a crucial hedge against currency devaluation. When inflation erodes purchasing power, investors often turn to gold to preserve their wealth.

Moreover, the Federal Reserve has signaled a shift toward monetary easing, with market expectations indicating potential interest rate cuts in the coming months. Lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding gold, making it a more attractive investment as compared to interest-bearing assets, such as bonds and savings accounts. With real interest rates projected to remain low or even go negative, gold could experience renewed demand as a safe store of value.

Geopolitical tensions further bolster gold’s appeal. Ongoing conflicts, particularly the strained U.S.-China relationship and the Russia-Ukraine war, create an atmosphere of uncertainty that drives investors toward safe-haven assets. During times of geopolitical instability, gold has historically seen increased demand as investors seek to mitigate risks associated with market volatility.

As global tensions escalate, the demand for gold is likely to rise, reinforcing its status as a reliable hedge against financial instability. Investors tend to flock to gold during crises, viewing it as a secure asset that retains its intrinsic value, especially when other markets are under pressure.

Another significant factor contributing to the bullish outlook for gold is the unprecedented demand from central banks around the world. In 2024, central banks collectively purchased over 1,000 metric tons of gold, marking one of the highest levels of accumulation in recent history. This trend is expected to continue into 2025, particularly among countries like China and Russia that are actively reducing their reliance on U.S. dollar reserves as part of a broader de-dollarization strategy.

This central bank buying provides a strong structural support for gold prices, minimizing downside risks. As these institutions accumulate more gold, the resulting scarcity in the market could lead to higher prices. The growing demand from central banks underscores the renewed confidence in gold as a strategic reserve asset, especially amidst economic volatility and geopolitical tensions.

From a technical perspective, gold is currently in a robust uptrend, trading above key moving averages and nearing critical resistance levels. If gold successfully breaks through the psychological barrier of $3,000 per ounce, momentum could carry it toward higher price targets, potentially reaching $3,200 or even $3,500. 

, such as relative strength index (RSI) and moving average convergence divergence (MACD), suggest that gold remains in a bullish phase, indicating further upside potential.

As gold approaches these key resistance points, technical traders will closely monitor its price movements. A successful breach of the $3,000 level could trigger momentum buying, propelling prices higher as investor confidence grows.

Finally, rising investor sentiment plays a crucial role in gold’s potential price surge. Increased inflows into gold-backed 

 (ETFs), in addition to speculative positioning in futures markets, reflect strong confidence among both retail and institutional investors. As ETF holdings rise, it signals renewed interest in gold as a safe-haven investment.

This optimism is bolstered by a general shift in market sentiment as investors are increasingly turning to gold amid concerns over economic stability and inflation. The combination of robust technical indicators, macroeconomic pressures and favorable investor sentiment positions gold favorably for a significant price increase in 2025.

In summary, gold is well-positioned to reach $3,000 per ounce in 2025, driven by a combination of persistent inflation, geopolitical uncertainty, strong central bank demand and positive technical indicators. As investors seek refuge in safe-haven assets, gold’s intrinsic value and historical performance during times of crisis will make it an attractive option for preserving wealth. The confluence of these factors suggests that gold's upward trajectory could continue, making 2025 a pivotal year for this precious metal.

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Bybit Commodity Insight Report: Why Gold Is Poised to Reach $3,000 in 2025

Our weekly crypto derivatives analytics report delves into macro events, the current state of crypto and trading signals from spot trading volume, as well as futures, options and perpetual contracts.

Macro headwinds are impacting the crypto market, with a sell-off that began over the weekend deepening this week. BTC, ETH and most altcoins are declining alongside equities, gold and treasury yields, though derivatives markets are showing little bearish sentiment or increased volatility expectations. Among perpetuals, there are record consistent positive rates across most markets, indicating a reset in positioning. Meanwhile, ETH retains a volatility premium over BTC, but its term structure hasn’t inverted as sharply as in earlier sell-offs this month.

Please check out the report’s highlights.

Funding Rates Largely Positive Amid Sell-Off

Despite risk-off sentiment across asset classes this weekend and early this past week, USDT-denominated perpetual contracts have shown their most consistently positive funding rates within the past month. While these rates haven't reached the bullish levels of early December 2024, most have returned to a neutral level of 0.01%, signaling a reset in positioning due to recent market movements.

Tuesday's intensified risk-off sell-off led to a significant spike in BTC put trade volume as traders hedged against further declines. Unlike ETH, which leans bullish on calls, BTC's open interest is balanced between upside and downside protection. The volatility term structure is flat again, typical during sharp market moves, but this reflects a decline in longer-dated options, rather than a rise in short-term expectations.

As the sell-off in risk-on assets deepened this past week, ETH outperformed BTC. ETH derivatives markets are showing stronger sentiment, with higher call trade volumes indicating greater demand for upside positioning as compared to puts. However, ETH's volatility term structure has inverted more sharply than BTC's, as seen in previous significant market moves since last November (2024), with front-end volatility levels 15 points above those of BTC options with a similar tenor.

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Bybit X Block Scholes Crypto Derivatives Analytics Report (Feb 26, 2025): Reset in Sentiment Brewing as Fund Rates Turn Positive

Explore four essential tips to help you accumulate more points, optimize your strategy and claim the best rewards in EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge.

With the rise of gamified crypto events, EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge stands out as one of the most exciting opportunities for users to earn rewards while engaging with both Bybit and Mantle Network. This limited-time event offers participants a shot at a 1,000,000 MNT prize pool when they complete on-chain and trading-related tasks. 

To help you maximize your rewards and ensure you get the most out of this event, in this guide we’ll break down four essential tips to help you accumulate more points, optimize your strategy and claim the best rewards in EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge.

EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge is a limited-time campaign that rewards participants with a share of a 1,000,000 MNT prize pool when they complete both Bybit and on-chain tasks. Players earn "wishes" that can be used to enter Lucky Draws or climb the leaderboard for greater rewards.

This campaign, hosted by Bybit in collaboration with Mantle, blends gamification with 

 engagement, offering users multiple ways to win. Participants can choose to rely on chance via the Lucky Draw or strategically allocate their wishes to compete on the leaderboard. The event runs from Mar 6, 2025 to Mar 27, 2025, making it a limited-time opportunity to accumulate rewards while exploring the Mantle ecosystem.

4 Tips to Maximize Your Wishes and Rewards in EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge

To make the most out of EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge, you need to strategize your wish allocation, complete as many tasks as possible and take advantage of all available earning mechanisms. Here are four essential tips to maximize your rewards:

One of the best ways to earn high-value rewards in EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge is by competing on the leaderboard. There are a total of five rounds, and the rewards are higher with each passing round. 

The more wishes you allocate toward leaderboard rankings, the higher your position and the larger your rewards. However, since the leaderboard is dynamic, your rank can change based on the activity of other participants.

Since leaderboard positions fluctuate, it’s recommended that you monitor your ranking regularly and adjust your strategy accordingly. Players who accumulate the most wishes by the end of each leaderboard round will receive the greatest rewards.

 that each round’s rewards and wishes are calculated independently, and any wishes spent in a round won’t carry over to the next round.

If you prefer an element of surprise, the Lucky Draw is your best bet. By spending wishes on Lucky Draw attempts, you earn the chance to win instant prizes. The Lucky Draw operates on a first-come, first-served basis, so the earlier you participate, the better your chances of securing top-tier rewards.

Since rewards are limited, it's advisable to use your wishes early before the top prizes run out.

An easy way to earn free points in this campaign is by holding Mantle (MNT) and/or Mantle Restaked ETH (cmETH) in your Bybit account. By simply keeping these assets in your wallet, you’ll receive additional wishes, increasing your chances of winning more rewards.

This passive method of earning wishes ensures that you accumulate extra points without actively completing tasks, making it one of the simplest ways to boost your rewards.

Another hidden gem for doubling your rewards in EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge is through Layer 3. Participants who complete specific Layer 3 quests will receive extra bonuses, including double rewards on certain tasks.

By leveraging Layer 3 bonuses, you can significantly boost your total wish count, increasing your chances of securing leaderboard positions or hitting big wins in the Lucky Draw.

If you’re looking for a fun and rewarding way to engage with the Mantle ecosystem, EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge is definitely an event worth joining. With 1,000,000 MNT up for grabs, both casual users and seasoned traders can benefit from this campaign.

The event's dual-reward system allows participants to tailor their strategy based on their preferences. Whether you enjoy the thrill of luck-based rewards or prefer the competitive edge of leaderboard climbing, this campaign offers something for everyone.

Additionally, holding MNT and cmETH provides passive earnings, while Layer 3 integration presents an opportunity for double rewards — making the experience even more lucrative for active participants.

EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge is a limited-time, gamified rewards campaign that blends trading, staking and on-chain interactions. By completing tasks, holding Mantle assets and strategically using your wishes, you can maximize your rewards and secure your share of the 1,000,000 MNT prize pool.

This event runs from Mar 6, 2025 to 27, 2025, so now is the best time to get started. Are you ready to explore the Mantle ecosystem and claim your rewards? Join EcoGalaxy: Mantle Surge today!

Beginner

how to participate in ecogalaxy mantle surge

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Join Bybit’s AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle, vote for top AI projects and compete for a share of a $1M prize pool. Earn rewards while shaping the future of AI in crypto.

The Bybit AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle is an exciting and innovative trading and voting event that aims to identify and support high-potential AI projects within the cryptocurrency space.

As artificial intelligence (AI) continues to revolutionize blockchain technology, this competition offers users a unique opportunity to engage with emerging AI-driven crypto projects while earning substantial rewards of up to $1 million.

 (AI) and cryptocurrency is reshaping blockchain and 

 — autonomous programs powered by machine learning — are revolutionizing the sector by automating trading strategies, optimizing portfolio management and executing on-chain decisions with minimal human input.

These intelligent agents analyze vast datasets, identify market trends and execute trades in real time, significantly enhancing efficiency and reducing risks in the volatile crypto market. Their role extends beyond trading, influencing DeFi protocols, NFT markets and blockchain governance.

Bybit is at the forefront of this AI-driven transformation, launching the 

 to spotlight high-potential AI projects. This event provides a launchpad for groundbreaking AI applications, connecting innovators with a global crypto audience.

What Is the Bybit AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle?

Bybit is launching a unique AI trading event designed to highlight the most promising AI-driven crypto projects.

AI is revolutionizing crypto markets, with automated trading bots now executing over 60% of all crypto transactions. The integration of AI and blockchain is unlocking new trading strategies, DeFi innovations and web3 applications, making the AI sector one of the most promising in crypto.

Bybit’s AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle bridges AI and blockchain, providing a global stage for emerging projects to gain exposure to a global audience. Participants play an active role in shaping the future of AI in crypto while earning rewards.

How to Participate in the AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle

Campaign Period: Feb 28, 2025, 10AM UTC – Mar 27, 2025, 10AM UTC

Bybit users can support AI projects and earn rewards by participating in this AI-powered trading competition. Here's a step-by-step guide to joining:

Projects earn voting points from the following ways:

By actively trading and voting, participants not only have a chance to earn from the $1 million prize pool, but will also play a crucial role in shaping the future of AI in the crypto industry.

Bybit's AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle offers an exciting $1 million prize pool, with multiple ways for participants to win rewards.

*Note that to win the prizes, there is a minimum number of voting points required. For example, to win the largest prize of $50,000, 600,000 voting points are required. Refer to the event page for more details. 

The breakdown of how votes are allocated for Bybit Spot is as follows:

The breakdown of how votes are allocated for Bybit Web3 is as follows:

The maximum number of daily votes that a user can receive is 100,400 (50,200 for Bybit Spot and Web3 respectively).

By trading, voting and engaging in the competition, participants not only support innovative AI projects but also receive a chance to maximize their earnings in this high-stakes trading battle.

Bybit's AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle offers a distinctive platform that connects cryptocurrency traders with AI innovators. Participants are invited to support leading AI projects, earn attractive rewards and contribute to shaping the future of AI within the crypto ecosystem. 

 and be part of the AI-driven revolution on Bybit!

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How to Participate in Bybit’s AI-DOL SUPERSTAR Trading Battle

Trading

Price action trading is the fundamental to dip your feet in the stock or even crypto market. But is it truly reliable? Learn how it works!

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Supposed you’re one of the many people who wonder which is the most promising trading strategy a trader would go for? The quick answer is price action trading. Not only is it suitable for intermediate traders, but it works exceptionally well for novice traders too. In fact, it is proven to help traders gain consistent profits over time.

After all, price action is the foundation for all technical analysis, and it’s mostly used to enter and exit the market precisely.

This strategy provides a complete arsenal to analyze and trade the markets efficiently. So the idea of this guide is to explain the main concepts about price action so anyone can have the tools to trade the markets like a pro.

Price action is a trading strategy used to analyze the market behavior and identifying the ideal entry, exit opportunities. At its core, price action reflects the imbalances between supply and demand in a market. In another way, a price action trader only believes the price and its movements with little to no use of technical indicators. 

Analyzing from a price action’s trader perspective, when buyers have more interest in any given asset, they will be psychologically willing to pay whatever the sellers are offering. Eventually, if the buying interest continues, the prices will tend to go higher, and therefore, creating an uptrend on the chart. In a simpler explanation, the price is parallel to the market’s demand. 

Ultimately, the analysis of price charts helps traders to define two things:

Additionally, the main purpose of price action trading is to describe the state of the market (trending or sideways markets). Based on this information, the investors can develop a trading strategy to time the market.

The main components of price action are divided into:

Price action applies to all kinds of trading styles, mainly because it can be analyzed in the same way across all time frames. Therefore, long-term or short-term traders can get benefit from this approach.

Price action comprises four main pillars: 

Below, we’re going to break down these four concepts and how to use price action effectively.

 are a graphical representation that provides information about the open, the high, the low, and the close of any given period. Usually, when the closing price is higher than the open price, the bar is 

 (bullish). When the close price is lower than the open price, the bar is 

 (bearish). However, the color depends on the platform configuration.

Generally, a bullish candle is upward while it’s vice versa for the bearish candle’s direction, which is downwards.

The image above indicates two candlesticks, one green where the close is higher than the open and the red one where the close is lower than its open. Usually, big fat candles, in one direction or another, represent significant momentum. 

Bullish trends refer to uptrends, where the price is forming consecutive higher lows and higher highs. Above shows an example of the BTCUSD one-hour time frame where a clear uptrend can be identified.

Bearish trends refer to downtrends, where the price is forming consecutive lower lows and lower highs. Below is an example of the BTCUSD 30-minute time frame where a downtrend is illustrated.

 is when the market structure doesn’t follow a path. In other words, a flat market happens when there is no consistency in the location of the lows and highs, and the action tends to be sideways. Usually, this movement is framed between a support and a resistance level.

This 10-minute chart of BTCUSD is an example of a flat market because, as you can see, there is no clear direction. Instead, the movement is sideways and is framed under 

While price action is interpreted as a trading strategy, price action indicator, on the other hand, refers to the study of market movement. You can use this indicator to assess the imbalances between supply and demand. In technical analysis, the 

candlestick on your price chart is the most powerful price action indicator

That also referred to as naked trading, which is trading without technical indicators like moving averages, relative strength index, stochastic but mainly relies exclusively on price action. In this case, candlesticks are studied together to provide accurate entry signals.

A good note here is price action analysis needs to be used with other trading concepts like:

In case you’re still confused, in the next example, we’ll analyze a 10-minute chart of BTCUSD. From there, we can see that a downtrend is in play (lower highs and lower lows). Additionally, an inside down candlestick (bearish harami) is presented around a resistance level. Those two factors provide confluence for placing a short entry because:

The details of the entry and risk are detailed in the chart below.

While traders can rely on psychological factors or market sentiments to deduce a trading opportunity, the use of fundamental historical data is inevitable. That’s when the chart patterns come in handy.

To start, here are what you need to know.

The hammer is a candlestick formation that represents strength in the market because it shows that the buyers are strong enough to bring the price from the lows of the bar up to the upper side of the candle.

It is preferable to take this formation in uptrends, especially in corrective movements towards previous support. The ideal entry is above the candle’s high and the 

Here’s an example of the ETHUSD 60-minute chart, where the price is in an uptrend. Additionally, there is corrective price action and a hammer around a support area. Those arguments provided an excellent long entry. The details of the trade (entry and stop-loss) are explained in the chart.

The shooting star candlestick represents a weakness in the market because it illustrates that the sellers are strong enough to bring the price from the highs of the bar to the candle’s lower side.

This formation should be taken in downtrends, preferably in corrective action towards previous resistance. The ideal entry is below the candle’s low and the stop-loss order at the top of the candle.

Below is an example of the BTCUSD 2-hour chart. The price broke down a previous consolidation (momentum to the downside). Later on, the price formed a shooting star around the last resistance. This action provides a great example to play the shooting star to the downside. The details of the trade (entry and stop-loss) are explained in the chart below.

An inside bar is a representation of price equilibrium in the market. An inside bar is a two-candlestick price formation, where the entire price range of the second candle is contained within the price range of the first candle, also known as— 

Ideally, inside bars signals should be taken in the direction of the overall trend because it increases the probabilities of success.

In this case, an interesting example is where an inside up candlestick is favoring the trend and around a previous support area. The details of the entry and stop-loss are in the chart are as above.

The outside bar is a two-candlestick price formation that signals a price reversal. The outside bar pattern can be recognized when the second candle takes out the high and the low of the previous candle. Outside bars are powerful reversal trade signals because it shows a shift in momentum.

The outside bars are useful in many trade scenarios. However, they tend to be more effective when anticipating the break of the previous price structure. For example, the BTCUSD daily chart shows the outside up bar takes both sides of the last candle and then goes straight up towards the previous resistance level, which is broken, and the upward momentum continues. 

Support and Resistance in Sideways Markets

When the market is in a sideways mode, it is defined under a horizontal formation framed between support and resistance. The use of exhaustion signals around those areas can be powerful signals to enter a market position and depict the price range’s extremities.

The exhaustion signals are some of the formations could be a hammer on support, shooting star at a resistance, inside the bar and outside bars are some of the candlesticks to look for in the limits of the range.

Looking at the daily chart of BTCUSD, there is a trading range where the action of the market is sideways. Notice how exhaustion signals provide good entry points to act on the range’s boundaries around the support and resistance levels.

 was an inside bar to the upside that took place around the support area. Notice how it offered a relatively small risk in comparison to the potential reward (target area).

 was an outside bat to the downside that confirmed the previous resistance. Once again, it provided a clear entry-level, and the risk to reward ratio was acceptable.

Applying The Price Strategy in Swing Trading

Price action pertains to swing trading as much as it’s applicable to short-term trading like scalping and day trading. Typically, the best time frames for swing trading are the 4-hour and daily charts.

A simple and effective way to swing trade using price action is to combine:

At the very basic, the number one cause behind all price movements results from an imbalance between the supply and demand equations. While there are many ways traders can confirm a supply and demand zone but, the best technique is to double-check it with price action.

In trading, a supply price zone is defined by increased selling pressure, which caused the price to drop. At the same time, a demand prize zone is defined by an area of increased buying pressure, which caused the price to rally.

In summary, swing trading with price action refers to waiting for the price to return to these supply and demand zones. Plus confirming your entry with one of the chart patterns explained throughout this guide.

Let’s consider the supply and demand example in the Bitcoin daily chart above. The overall trend is bullish, which means we look for pullbacks into a demand area and price action for confirmation. To maximize profits and protect the potential gains, you should use a trailing stop-loss order.

One of the biggest challenges with price action trading is the false setups. Very often, the chart patterns will fail to produce the expected outcome and can lead to disappointments. In this regard, it’s essential to learn and accept false setups as an everyday occurrence.

The most common fakeout signal is the false break out of support and resistance levels. In normal circumstances, a breakout will lead the price to move in the same direction of the break.

Below is an example of a false breakout of the support zone.

The break of support didn’t cause more follow-through to the downside, and what appeared to be a sure move to the downside turned out to be a false signal.

Here’s another example of a failed chart pattern (bearish outside bar.) Usually, the bearish outside bar signals a trend reversal, and it signals that the bears are in control. However, this time around, the bearish outside bar proved to be a false setup.

The best way to differentiate between a false setup and a simple setup is by measuring the time it takes for a setup to play out. Usually, the higher quality trade setups take a concise period to play out and show you a profit.   

Yes, price action trading works because it represents the market dynamics. In other words, it illustrates the sentiment of the market participants. However, reaching a proficiency level requires a lot of screen time to get all the nuances of this approach. 

What Is Price Action and Its Trading Strategies?

Grab Up to 5,000 USDT in Rewards

Grab Up to 5,000 USDT in Rewards