Mar 31, 2025: Our weekly Institutional Insights explores the latest market developments — market performance, industry news, exchange-traded fund (ETF) flows, trending topics, upcoming events and token unlocks — to help you supercharge your crypto trading.

 explores the latest market developments — market performance, industry news, exchange-traded fund (ETF) flows, trending topics, upcoming events and token unlocks — to help you supercharge your crypto trading.

Weekly highlight — Payroll is expected to further soften

US employers likely slowed hiring in March amid rising consumer caution and a dimmer economic outlook due to concerns over higher tariffs. Payrolls increased by 138,000, falling short of the 151,000 rise from the previous month, marking the slowest average job growth since October. The unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.1%.

The labor market report comes as economic data shows a significant slowdown in Q1, with personal spending barely rising, soft disposable income growth and declining consumer sentiment over inflation fears.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and other Board of Governors members will address the economic outlook shortly after the jobs data release next Friday. The anxiety surrounding President Trump's aggressive trade policies is mounting, especially with the expected significant tariff increase on imports.

Trump stated he is unconcerned about potential auto price hikes due to these tariffs. 

 predicts that effective tariffs could reach around 15% next year, the highest in nearly a century, which may keep the Fed from lowering rates amid inflation risks.

With consumer confidence waning, any significant drop in job growth could heighten economic concerns. Upcoming manufacturing and services surveys from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) and S&P Global are anticipated to provide further insights.

Weekly crypto highlight — Ether doubts mount as volatility rattles market

Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum’s founder, was once celebrated as a visionary in the cryptocurrency realm. Known for his quirky style and idealistic views, he’s aimed to revolutionize finance and digital life via Ethereum, a significant competitor to Bitcoin. However, as Ethereum enters its second decade, it’s struggling to meet early expectations amid a rapidly evolving industry influenced by political shifts, notably under Donald Trump.

Developers are leaving, early supporters are frustrated — and Ethereum's token (ETH, or Ether) has underperformed compared to Bitcoin and other competitors. Complaints about Buterin's leadership have intensified, leading him to express the challenges of maintaining a positive environment for talent within the Ethereum Foundation.

Despite Ethereum remaining the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency, its value plummeted approximately 44% in 2025, marking its worst quarterly performance since 2022. While BTC has gained 30% over the past year, ETH has declined 45%, losing ground to rivals like Solana, which has experienced 83% growth in developer activity.

Analysts have downgraded Ethereum's year-end forecast by 60%, citing an identity crisis and dwindling dominance. At a recent conference, Buterin acknowledged the unmet promises of Ethereum but stressed the need for sustainable long-term value.

Buterin, who authored the Ethereum white paper in 2014 after dropping out of college, envisioned a decentralized platform for digital contracts and applications. Despite Ethereum's speculative highs, he has remained detached from material wealth.

In contrast to the crypto landscape embracing Trump's rhetoric, Buterin has maintained a critical stance, labeling “politician coins” as risky and detrimental to democracy. He hasn’t commented further on these issues, reflecting his commitment to Ethereum's foundational ideals amid shifting industry dynamics.

Beginner

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Weekly Institutional Insights: US payroll expected to weaken; Ether doubts mount

Following the success of recent Bitcoin and Ethereum Spot ETFs, asset managers are actively pursuing the creation of spot ETFs for altcoins. Learn more here.

US president Donald Trump's return to office has ignited renewed institutional interest in 

 (ETF) applications centered on these innovative digital assets. This surge reflects a growing recognition of altcoins as viable investment opportunities. 

In this article, we’ll take a deep dive into the dynamic 

 landscape, spotlight key altcoins that are drawing ETF proposals and discuss the potential market impact and regulatory challenges. 

An altcoin spot ETF application is a formal request submitted to regulators to create an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that directly holds altcoins (cryptocurrencies other than 

) as underlying assets, allowing investors regulated exposure to the altcoins’ real-time market prices without owning the altcoins themselves.

How does an altcoin spot ETF application work?

The process of applying for such an ETF in the United States involves several detailed steps, primarily overseen by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

During its review, the SEC assesses several critical factors to determine whether the altcoin is suitable for inclusion in an ETF. The agency examines the market surveillance capabilities of the exchange, ensuring it can effectively monitor trading activities to prevent fraud and manipulation. In addition, the SEC evaluates custody solutions to guarantee secure storage of the altcoin, protecting it against theft or loss. Finally, the agency considers the liquidity and market size of the altcoin, assessing its market maturity through indicators (such as trading volume and market capitalization) to ensure it can adequately support an ETF structure.

Current altcoin spot ETF application landscape

 in the United States in 2024, asset managers have expanded their focus to other cryptocurrencies. Major firms Grayscale Investments, Bitwise, VanEck and Canary Capital have filed applications with the US SEC for ETFs tied to cryptocurrencies such as 

 from Bloomberg Intelligence have assigned a 90% approval probability for a Litecoin ETF in 2025, with 

, Solana and XRP following at 75%, 70% and 65% likelihoods, respectively. 

In the international scene, Brazil's securities regulator, the Comissão de Valores Mobiliários (CVM), 

 Spot XRP ETF, the Hashdex Nasdaq XRP Index Fund. This ETF allows investors to gain direct exposure to XRP through Brazil's B3 stock exchange without the need to purchase and store the cryptocurrency themselves. 

Why is there a sudden rise in altcoin spot ETF applications?

Several factors have contributed to the surge in altcoin spot ETF applications.

An overview of altcoins with spot ETF applications

The growing interest in altcoin spot ETFs has led several asset managers in the US to file applications for a range of digital assets. Below is a detailed list of the altcoins currently targeted by spot ETF applications, along with the companies behind each filing.

 is a high-performance blockchain platform renowned for its scalability, speed and low transaction costs achieved through its unique Proof of History (PoH) 

. In February 2025, the SEC acknowledged several Spot Solana ETF applications from prominent asset managers, as follows.

Currently under review, these applications collectively carry an estimated 70% likelihood of approval, though this outlook may be affected by the regulatory classification of SOL as a security. 

 is a decentralized cryptocurrency launched in 2011 as a faster, lower-cost alternative to Bitcoin. Dubbed "digital silver," it uses a 

 (PoW) consensus mechanism and serves primarily as a payment network.

Several asset managers have submitted applications for a Spot Litecoin ETF.

The SEC’s final decisions are expected by late 2025. Bloomberg analysts estimate a 

 for Litecoin ETFs in 2025, due to Litecoin’s commodity classification and reduced regulatory risks as compared to other cryptocurrencies. Analysts also highlight that Litecoin’s technical similarities to Bitcoin are favorable factors in the ongoing review process.

’s decentralized blockchain platform is designed to enable interoperability between different blockchain networks. Pending DOT Spot ETF applications include the following.

The applications are under review by the SEC, and 21Shares recently 

its application in early March, 2025, indicating active collaboration with the SEC. 

 is a third-generation blockchain platform that uses a 

 (PoS) consensus mechanism, making it more energy-efficient than PoW blockchains. It’s known for its rigorous, peer-reviewed development process and focus on sustainability, scalability and interoperability. 

filed the first-ever (and, so far, only) Spot Cardano ETF application 

 with the SEC, aiming to list the ETF on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). 

Grayscale's Spot Cardano ETF application is currently under review by the SEC, with the regulatory body 

 on Feb 24, 2025. The SEC's decision is expected by August 2025. 

 is a decentralized public network that uses the novel 

 (based on a directed acyclic graph, or DAG) to offer high-speed, secure and energy-efficient transactions. It’s designed as an alternative to traditional blockchain systems, supporting applications across various industries like finance, gaming and healthcare. 

The following asset managers have submitted HBAR Spot ETF applications.

The SEC review process for the HBAR Spot ETFs has begun. It can take up to 240 days for a full response. However, HBAR isn’t considered a security by the SEC, which could potentially expedite the approval process for an HBAR Spot ETF. 

 is a decentralized oracle network that helps connect smart contracts to real-world data, ensuring that these contracts can securely and reliably access external information. 

Although no asset managers have filed for a Spot ETF focused solely on Chainlink (LINK), the asset is gaining exposure through broader crypto ETF filings. For instance, Hashdex's crypto ETF, which also features major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, includes Chainlink in its portfolio. This ETF application 

 on Nov 25, 2024, and is currently under review.

 cryptocurrency that originated as a satirical take on the burgeoning digital currency market. Despite its humorous beginnings, Dogecoin has developed a significant following and has been used in various charitable events and crowdfunding campaigns. 

Asset managers who have submitted applications for Dogecoin (DOGE) Spot ETFs include the following.

These applications are currently under review by the SEC, and a decision regarding Grayscale's application is anticipated by mid-October 2025. 

 blockchain platform developed by Ava Labs and launched in September 2020. It’s designed to support fast, scalable and secure 

The following asset managers have submitted applications for 

These applications are currently under review by the SEC. 

 is a Layer 1 blockchain platform developed by Aptos Labs, founded in 2021 by former Meta (Facebook) employees Mo Shaikh and Avery Ching. Leveraging the Move programming language, initially created for Meta's Diem project, Aptos aims to deliver a scalable, secure, and efficient infrastructure for DApps. 

As of now, Bitwise Asset Management is the only asset manager that has 

 for an APT Spot ETF. The application, submitted on Mar 5, 2025, is still pending with the SEC.

 is the native digital asset of the XRP Ledger, an open-source blockchain designed to facilitate fast, low-cost and energy-efficient cross-border payments. XRP aims to provide a scalable alternative to traditional financial systems such as SWIFT. 

All of these applications are currently under review by the SEC, with possible approvals expected later in the year.

 is a Layer 1 smart contract platform designed to enhance digital asset ownership by making transactions fast, secure and accessible. Its PoS consensus mechanism and use of the Move programming language enable Sui to support high-speed transactions and a wide range of DApps, positioning it as a scalable solution for various blockchain use cases. 

 with the SEC to launch an ETF tied to the spot price of SUI. This filing represents the first, and for now, only attempt to introduce a SUI-backed ETF in the United States.

The SEC has acknowledged receipt of Canary Capital's application, kicking off the regulatory review process. 

 is an Ethereum Layer 2 blockchain platform built to improve scalability and efficiency. It leverages the Move programming language for faster transaction speeds and lower costs, seeking to establish itself as a next-generation blockchain solution.

 for an ETF designed to track the MOVE token. Submitted on Mar 10, 2025, this marks the first, and currently the only, application for a MOVE Spot ETF.

The SEC is currently reviewing the application, having confirmed receipt.

Could this trend pave the way for crypto mainstream adoption?

The growing number of altcoin spot ETF applications and potential approvals could significantly impact the cryptocurrency landscape, potentially accelerating mainstream adoption. Here's how.

Historical data suggests that significant regulatory milestones, such as ETF approvals, often lead to market rallies. For instance, following the SEC's approval of Bitcoin Spot ETFs in early 2024, Bitcoin's price surged over 

, reaching a peak of $100,000. This rally contributed to the overall cryptocurrency market cap’s climb to approximately $3.5 trillion. Similarly, spot ETF approvals could trigger a bull run, as increased demand drives up prices. With easier access to crypto investments, more individuals and institutions may enter the market, further driving adoption and innovation within the ecosystem.

While the outlook is optimistic, it's essential to approach these developments with caution.

, and their market movements can be unpredictable. Investors should 

 and consider their risk tolerance before investing in cryptocurrencies or related products.

The altcoin Spot ETF landscape is rapidly expanding as asset managers like Grayscale, Bitwise, 21Shares and Canary Capital file applications for digital assets beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum. With ETFs targeting Solana, Litecoin, Polkadot, Cardano and other altcoins, these initiatives aim to enhance market accessibility and institutional participation, though final approval remains subject to regulatory review.

Intermediate

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Crypto ETF landscape: An overview of altcoins with ETF applications

Our weekly crypto derivatives analytics report delves into macro events; the current state of crypto and trading signals from spot trading volume; and futures, options and perpetual contracts.

Since hitting a local bottom on Mar 11, 2025, crypto asset prices have experienced a two-week rise, following a recovery above $87K for BTC and $2K for ETH. XRP remains stable, but BTC and ETH are still below their levels from the start of the year. SOL is also down for the year, despite reaching an all-time high (ATH) in January 2025 that coincided with the 

. While derivatives markets aren't bullish yet, they've reversed much of the bearish sentiment, although demand persists for puts on BTC and ETH.

Please check out the report’s highlights.

For most of this past week, perpetual open interest remained flat, reflecting a cautious risk-off sentiment across asset classes. This changed briefly with a partial spot recovery that allowed BTC to reach $88K (a two-week high), which led to slight increases in perp open interest and trade volume primarily driven by BTC. However, trade volumes are still significantly lower than at the start of the month when US president Donald Trump proposed a crypto strategic reserve for the big four tokens.

Negative funding rates point to bearish sentiment

Despite a week of lower realized volatility and positive performance among major crypto assets, funding rates for BTC and ETH contracts have remained mostly negative, indicating that short positions are paying long positions. This reflects a bearish sentiment not present in large-cap altcoins, whose funding rates have fluctuated between positive and negative without a clear directional trend.

Implied volatility levels have dropped by 3–5 points from last week, with 30-day options trading at their lowest level since the year's start. Realized volatility is nearing the 30% low established in late February. As is typical during periods of low volatility, options market activity has decreased, with open interest remaining low and balanced between puts and calls despite about $40M in weekly expirations.

Advanced

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Bybit X Block Scholes crypto derivatives analytics report (Mar 27, 2025): Cautious sentiment prevails despite price recovery

Learn about Mubarak (MUBARAK), the BNB Chain meme coin fueled by community hype and speculation over potential listings.

Mubarak (MUBARAK) is a community-driven meme coin on 

 that’s quickly gaining popularity, due to strategic community engagement and cultural branding targeted toward Middle Eastern investors. This guide explores Mubarak’s unique features, tokenomics, recent market performance and trading options.

Mubarak (MUBARAK) is a community-driven meme cryptocurrency built on BNB Chain. It was launched on the 

 Inspired by an Abu Dhabi company’s $2 billion investment in Binance, MUBARAK — which means “blessed” in Arabic — carries a unique appeal for Middle Eastern crypto markets. This targeted cultural approach distinguishes MUBARAK from other 

, giving it particular appeal in regions with growing crypto enthusiasm.

Shortly after the coin’s launch, its community quickly took control over it, guided prominently by the influential persona 

 on social media platform X. Users can also create Mubarak-themed avatars on the website, giving influential figures a dash of Middle-Eastern charm — from CZ and Portuguese soccer star Cristiano Ronaldo to beloved meme coin mascots 

. The meme coin quickly attracted attention, due to its engaging branding and strategic community management, amassing a total of 12,400 followers in just two weeks. 

What’s the source of MUBARAK’s popularity? 

MUBARAK stands out from typical meme coins, thanks to several major Binance-related events accelerating its market visibility. 

On Mar 12, 2025, Abu Dhabi investment company MGX made history by investing $2 billion in Binance. This represented the largest single investment in the whole of cryptocurrency history, signaling strong confidence in the industry. It was also a pivotal moment that firmly established the Middle East as a key player in the crypto space. Right after MGX’s mind-blowing investment, CZ tweeted several Mubarak-related posts, leading to the eventual birth of MUBARAK the very next day.

Binance Alpha, a dedicated platform for emerging and promising BNB Chain tokens, promptly listed MUBARAK on Mar 15, 2025, further validating the meme coin's potential. This integration enhanced MUBARAK's credibility, trust and market exposure, attracting a broader investor base beyond that of typical meme coin enthusiasts.

The second significant event that led to the greatest boost in its price and market cap took place when CZ personally bought 1 BNB worth of MUBARAK (around $600 at the time of purchase) on Mar 17, 2025. Both its listing and CZ’s purchase of the coin within a matter of two days pushed the coin to an all-time high (ATH) of $0.21 by Mar 18, 2025. While MUBARAK rapidly declined from its ATH to $0.13 just one day later, CZ’s cryptic endorsement for the coin briefly ignited more community excitement. 

On Mar 19, 2025, CZ sparked speculation in the Mubarak community by changing his X profile picture to feature himself wearing traditional Arab attire. The crypto community widely interpreted CZ’s subtle gesture as a potential endorsement or “hint” toward future Binance involvement. This led to a rapid increase in Mubarak's price (over 30%) within the same day as it reached $0.165 and briefly touched a $166 million market cap.

Mubarak’s straightforward and transparent tokenomics (below) are designed to foster investor confidence and community engagement.

Mubarak's simple token structure and availability on a reputable 

 (DEX) enhance accessibility, providing investors easy entry and liquidity options without relying solely on 

As of Mar 28, 2025, MUBARAK is priced at $0.096, reflecting a 55.3% decrease from its ATH of $0.21 on Mar 18, 2025, and a 237% increase from its all-time low (ATL) of $0.028 on Mar 16, 2025. It has a current market cap of $95 million and a 24-hour trading volume of $306 million.

MUBARAK’s price surged over 480% from the time of its launch, primarily due to strategic visibility from its Binance Alpha integration, speculative interest following CZ’s interactions and growing enthusiasm for meme coins in the crypto market. At its peak, MUBARAK achieved a market cap of approximately $166 million, reflecting significant investor confidence and demand.

Mubarak (MUBARAK) has quickly established itself as an influential meme coin in the crypto market, boosted significantly by strategic integrations like Binance Alpha, and speculative attention fueled by former Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao’s interactions. Its unique cultural branding, particularly appealing to Middle Eastern crypto circles, has further amplified its market visibility and adoption. However, investors must approach meme coins with caution due to these assets’ speculative nature, which often leads to considerable volatility and potential risks.

If you're interested in participating in MUBARAK’s growth story, you can trade 

, where you can participate in high-risk/high-reward Perpetual contract trading with up to 12.5x leverage.

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Mubarak (MUBARAK): Arabic-themed BNB Chain meme coin

Glossary

A hard cap refers to the maximum number of tokens that can be produced in a blockchain in order to maintain the token’s scarcity.

Cryptocurrency continues to be a fascinating and evolving domain, attracting investors, developers, and enthusiasts alike. One crucial aspect of this field is understanding the concept of a "hard cap," a term that often surfaces in discussions about Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs) and token economics. This comprehensive guide aims to shed light on what a hard cap is, its significance in the crypto world, and how it impacts investors and projects.

A hard cap in cryptocurrency refers to the maximum amount of capital that a project aims to raise during an ICO or token sale. It's a predetermined limit set by the project's creators, indicating the total supply of tokens or the maximum funds they are willing to accept from investors. Understanding the 

 is pivotal in grasping the importance of hard caps.

Hard caps are crucial for multiple reasons:

While a hard cap is the upper limit, a soft cap is the minimum amount a project needs to move forward. If a project fails to meet its soft cap, it may be canceled, and investors are typically refunded.

The Role of Hard Cap in ICOs and Tokenomics

Many projects have benefited from well-planned hard caps. For example, Ethereum's ICO in 2014 had a hard cap that contributed to its long-term success. Conversely, projects without a clear hard cap or with an unrealistically high cap often struggle to maintain value and investor trust.

Tokenomics – the economics of tokens – plays a vital role in determining a project's hard cap. A thorough understanding of 

 can provide deeper insights into how hard caps are set and their implications.

For investors, understanding a project's hard cap is vital. It helps in assessing the potential for growth and return on investment. Engaging in 

When evaluating an ICO, consider the hard cap in the context of the project's goals, roadmap, and team. A realistic and well-justified hard cap can be a sign of a promising investment opportunity.

The Future of Hard Caps in Cryptocurrency

The cryptocurrency landscape is ever-changing. As regulatory frameworks evolve and the market matures, we may see shifts in how hard caps are used and perceived. Keeping an eye on 

 is crucial for understanding these changes.

As the industry evolves, new fundraising models and token distribution methods may emerge, potentially altering the role of hard caps in ICOs and token sales.

The concept of a hard cap is integral to understanding ICOs and the broader cryptocurrency market. It's a critical factor that can influence a project's success and an investor's decision-making process. As the crypto world continues to evolve, staying informed and understanding key concepts like hard caps will remain essential for anyone involved in this dynamic field.

Hard Cap

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